Route on-time record
PVD to ORD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Providence/Warwick (Rhode Island T. F. Green International Airport) to Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport). 1,632 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 73% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 5786 at 6:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
PVD → ORD
Providence/Warwick to Chicago: 1,632 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
73%
Cancelled
3.2%
avg delay 25 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
85% on time vs 53% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
American
76% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $146 (American 3771 on 2026-10-21). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · SkyWest 5786 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
6:00 AM → 8:00 AM3h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 100%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 1 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 53%).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · American 360
7:03 AM → 8:55 AM2h 52m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 3270, 2919; its record covers all of them.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 0.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 15 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (230 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 53%).
Strong track record · 230 flights
Find American 360 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Envoy 3800 · sold as American Eagle
1:07 PM → 3:06 PM2h 59m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 92%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 92% of the time (37 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 37 scheduled flights.
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (37 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 37 flights
Find 1:07 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Envoy 3453 · sold as American Eagle
1:38 PM → 3:39 PM3h 01m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 100%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 1 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find 1:38 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · SkyWest 5409 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
9:35 AM → 11:38 AM3h 03m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (21 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (21 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 21 flights
Find 9:35 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Envoy 3709 · sold as American Eagle
11:59 AM → 1:58 PM2h 59m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 78%
- Cancelled
- 7.4%
- Avg arrival delay
- 20 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (50 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 7.4% of the time (4 of 54).
- Short track record (50 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 50 flights
Find 11:59 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · SkyWest 5385 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
5:45 AM → 7:57 AM3h 12m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.
69%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 11.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (16 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 53%).
- Short track record (16 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 16 flights
Find 5:45 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · SkyWest 5764 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
11:12 AM → 1:15 PM3h 03m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 5967; its record covers all of them.
69%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 78%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 18 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
- Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 32 flights
Find 11:12 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · SkyWest 6027 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
4:35 PM → 6:40 PM3h 05m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
67%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 78%
- Cancelled
- 3.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 36 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (51 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.8% of the time (2 of 53).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (51 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 51 flights
Find 4:35 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · SkyWest 4703 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
8:58 AM → 11:00 AM3h 02m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-29.
66%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 71%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 71% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 31 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 53%).
- Short track record (31 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 31 flights
Find 8:58 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- American Airlines76%
426 flights · 79% on time as flown · 2.4% cancel
- United Airlines74%
119 flights · 76% on time as flown · 2.9% cancel
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)71%
71 flights · 74% on time as flown · 3.6% cancel
- Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)69%
248 flights · 73% on time as flown · 4.5% cancel
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)66%
768 flights · 68% on time as flown · 3.3% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM85%
659 flights · avg delay 15 min
- 9 AM to noon79%
142 flights · avg delay 15 min
- Noon to 3 PM73%
149 flights · avg delay 29 min
- 3 to 6 PM60%
632 flights · avg delay 36 min
- 6 to 9 PM53%
50 flights · avg delay 55 min
Best day: Wednesday (80%). Worst: Sunday (75%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
PVD → MDW 83% chance on time
Rhode Island T. F. Green International Airport to Chicago Midway International Airport · 768 flights a year · 15 mi from your airports · yours: 70%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)42%
- Air traffic control and airport volume30%
- Late-arriving aircraft22%
- Severe weather6%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
PVD to ORD questions
- What time of day is best to fly PVD to ORD?
- Before 9 AM: 85% of flights arrived on time, against 53% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from PVD to ORD?
- American, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 426 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on PVD to ORD?
- July (66% on time); the best was April (84%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from PVD
- ORD to PVD (return)
- PVD to DCA 72%
- PVD to BWI 84%
- PVD to MCO 76%
- PVD to CLT 83%
- PVD to ATL 84%
- PVD to MDW 85%
- PVD to DTW 76%
- PVD to PHL 85%
- PVD to FLL 68%
- PVD to TPA 79%
- PVD to PBI 74%
- PVD to JFK 95%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops