Skip to content

All Products

Aviation Intelligence

Alerts & Airspace

Free Pilot Tools & Widgets

RC Aviation

Games & Learning

Weather Research & More

Pilot Resources

My Airports

Your shortcuts, saved on this device. Search to add an airport.

No airports saved yet. Add the fields you visit most.

Ask ATIS

Route on-time record

ORD to PVD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport) to Providence/Warwick (Rhode Island T. F. Green International Airport). 1,632 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 69% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Envoy 3800 at 9:06 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

ORD → PVD

Chicago to Providence/Warwick: 1,632 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

69%

Cancelled

2.6%

avg delay 24 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

84% on time vs 56% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Envoy

76% chance on time

Check ORD to PVD fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $277 (American 1293 on 2026-10-28). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Envoy 3800 · sold as American Eagle

    9:06 AM → 12:37 PM2h 31m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    97%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 97% of the time (37 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 37 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (37 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 37 flights

    Find 9:06 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Envoy 3453 · sold as American Eagle

    9:32 AM → 1:04 PM2h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find 9:32 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Envoy 3709 · sold as American Eagle

    8:05 AM → 11:27 AM2h 22m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    7.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (50 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 7.4% of the time (4 of 54).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 84% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 56%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 50 flights

    Find 8:05 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · SkyWest 5746 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    7:00 AM → 10:31 AM2h 31m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 5747; its record covers all of them.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 84% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 56%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 32 flights

    Find 7:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · SkyWest 5690 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    11:47 AM → 3:18 PM2h 31m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 5375; its record covers all of them.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    2.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (74 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 74 flights

    Find 11:47 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Envoy 3771 · sold as American Eagle

    1:36 PM → 5:06 PM2h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 87% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find 1:36 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Envoy 3737 · sold as American Eagle

    1:48 PM → 5:07 PM2h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    74%
    Cancelled
    7.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 74% of the time (58 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 7.9% of the time (5 of 63).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 58% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 58 flights

    Find 1:48 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · SkyWest 4703 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    12:40 PM → 4:16 PM2h 36m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 12:40 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · American 1582

    6:55 PM → 10:14 PM2h 24m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    60%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    62%
    Cancelled
    3.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    38 min
    • Arrived on time 62% of the time (156 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.1% of the time (5 of 162).
    • Departs inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Moderate track record · 156 flights

    Find American 1582 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · American 1293

    7:20 PM → 10:48 PM2h 28m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    60%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    63%
    Cancelled
    0.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    31 min
    • Arrived on time 63% of the time (158 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • 51% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 158 flights

    Find American 1293 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)76%

    248 flights · 82% on time as flown · 3.5% cancel

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)74%

    70 flights · 84% on time as flown · 3.1% cancel

  • United Airlines72%

    119 flights · 73% on time as flown · 1.8% cancel

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)64%

    768 flights · 66% on time as flown · 2.6% cancel

  • American Airlines61%

    427 flights · 61% on time as flown · 2.1% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM84%

    114 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 9 AM to noon81%

    439 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • Noon to 3 PM62%

    326 flights · avg delay 28 min

  • 3 to 6 PM56%

    158 flights · avg delay 25 min

  • 6 to 9 PM63%

    595 flights · avg delay 30 min

Best day: Saturday (79%). Worst: Friday (70%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • MDW → PVD 76% chance on time

    Chicago Midway International Airport to Rhode Island T. F. Green International Airport · 770 flights a year · 15 mi from your airports · yours: 67%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
67
F
72
M
78
A
80
M
76
J
72
J
65
A
75
S
74
O
82
N
79
D
68

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)34%
  • Late-arriving aircraft32%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume20%
  • Severe weather13%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

ORD to PVD questions

What time of day is best to fly ORD to PVD?
Before 9 AM: 84% of flights arrived on time, against 56% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from ORD to PVD?
Envoy, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 248 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on ORD to PVD?
July (65% on time); the best was October (82%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from ORD

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops