Route on-time record
PVD to DCA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Providence/Warwick (Rhode Island T. F. Green International Airport) to Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport). 2,462 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 72% arrived within 15 minutes and 5.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 3968 at 8:20 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
PVD → DCA
Providence/Warwick to Washington: 2,462 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
72%
Cancelled
5.2%
avg delay 21 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
89% on time vs 54% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Southwest
77% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Southwest 3968
8:20 AM → 9:55 AM1h 35m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 2368; its record covers all of them.
91%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 95%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (83 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 83 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 54%).
Moderate track record · 83 flights
Find Southwest 3968 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Republic 4638 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
6:01 AM → 7:40 AM1h 39m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 92%
- Cancelled
- 2.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 92% of the time (36 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 54%).
- Short track record (36 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 36 flights
Find 6:01 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · PSA 5468 · sold as American Eagle
6:00 AM → 7:46 AM1h 46m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 8.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 22 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 54%).
- Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 23 flights
Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Envoy 3356 · sold as American Eagle
6:00 AM → 7:39 AM1h 39m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 80%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 80% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 54%).
- Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 10 flights
Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · PSA 5613 · sold as American Eagle
8:31 AM → 10:16 AM1h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 77%
- Cancelled
- 5.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 18 min
- Arrived on time 77% of the time (91 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 5.2% of the time (5 of 96).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 54%).
- 80% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 91 flights
Find 8:31 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Republic 4574 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
10:34 AM → 12:12 PM1h 38m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
71%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 67%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 15 min
- Arrived on time 67% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find 10:34 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Southwest 2361
6:15 PM → 7:55 PM1h 40m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
71%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 69%
- Cancelled
- 7.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 34 min
- Arrived on time 69% of the time (26 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 54% on time; Before 9 AM: 89%).
- Short track record (26 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 26 flights
Find Southwest 2361 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · PSA 5337 · sold as American Eagle
11:59 AM → 1:44 PM1h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
68%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 9.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 10 flights
Find 11:59 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · Republic 4778 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
9:09 PM → 10:52 PM1h 43m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
67%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 67%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 33 min
- Arrived on time 67% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- 68% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find 9:09 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · American 815
12:10 PM → 1:45 PM1h 35m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
66%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (12 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (12 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 12 flights
Find American 815 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Southwest Airlines77%
672 flights · 80% on time as flown · 3.0% cancel
- American Airlines70%
467 flights · 73% on time as flown · 2.7% cancel
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)68%
168 flights · 72% on time as flown · 5.0% cancel
- Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)66%
66 flights · 68% on time as flown · 8.2% cancel
- PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)63%
1,089 flights · 68% on time as flown · 7.4% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM89%
770 flights · avg delay 7 min
- 9 AM to noon84%
190 flights · avg delay 11 min
- Noon to 3 PM65%
491 flights · avg delay 25 min
- 3 to 6 PM65%
581 flights · avg delay 29 min
- 6 to 9 PM54%
421 flights · avg delay 34 min
Best day: Saturday (83%). Worst: Friday (74%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
PVD → BWI 82% chance on time
Rhode Island T. F. Green International Airport to Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport · 1,885 flights a year · 30 mi from your airports · yours: 69%
BOS → IAD 81% chance on time
Boston Logan International Airport to Washington Dulles International Airport · 1,490 flights a year · 72 mi from your airports · yours: 69%
BOS → BWI 76% chance on time
Boston Logan International Airport to Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport · 3,605 flights a year · 79 mi from your airports · yours: 69%
BOS → DCA 71% chance on time
Boston Logan International Airport to Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport · 9,071 flights a year · 49 mi from your airports · yours: 69%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft54%
- Air traffic control and airport volume31%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)14%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
PVD to DCA questions
- What time of day is best to fly PVD to DCA?
- Before 9 AM: 89% of flights arrived on time, against 54% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from PVD to DCA?
- Southwest, with a season-adjusted 77% chance of operating and arriving on time over 672 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on PVD to DCA?
- July (68% on time); the best was October (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from PVD
- DCA to PVD (return)
- PVD to BWI 84%
- PVD to ORD 73%
- PVD to MCO 76%
- PVD to CLT 83%
- PVD to ATL 84%
- PVD to MDW 85%
- PVD to DTW 76%
- PVD to PHL 85%
- PVD to FLL 68%
- PVD to TPA 79%
- PVD to PBI 74%
- PVD to JFK 95%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops