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Route on-time record

PVD to MCO: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Providence/Warwick (Rhode Island T. F. Green International Airport) to Orlando (Orlando International Airport). 1,617 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 76% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.4% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 3970 at 5:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

PVD → MCO

Providence/Warwick to Orlando: 1,617 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

76%

Cancelled

1.4%

avg delay 16 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

88% on time vs 60% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

77% chance on time

Check PVD to MCO fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 3970

    5:00 AM → 7:55 AM2h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    93%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    98%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 98% of the time (54 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 54 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).
    • Short track record (54 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 54 flights

    Find Southwest 3970 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 4304

    6:00 AM → 9:05 AM3h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    97%
    Cancelled
    3.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 97% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.0% of the time (1 of 33).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).
    • Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 32 flights

    Find Southwest 4304 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · JetBlue 1076

    7:45 AM → 10:47 AM3h 02m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    1.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (178 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).

    Moderate track record · 178 flights

    Find JetBlue 1076 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · JetBlue 1925

    9:45 AM → 12:49 PM3h 04m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    95%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 95% of the time (37 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 37 scheduled flights.
    • Short track record (37 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 37 flights

    Find JetBlue 1925 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Southwest 3971

    9:55 AM → 12:55 PM3h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Short track record (55 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 3971 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · JetBlue 2875

    6:00 AM → 10:45 AM3h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-28.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    74%
    Cancelled
    2.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 74% of the time (178 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).

    Moderate track record · 178 flights

    Find JetBlue 2875 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · JetBlue 1275

    2:42 PM → 5:51 PM3h 09m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-27.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    3.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (27 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (27 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 27 flights

    Find JetBlue 1275 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Southwest 700

    4:25 PM → 7:25 PM3h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    50%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 50% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 700 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · JetBlue 1875

    2:25 PM → 5:29 PM3h 04m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-29.

    66%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    65%
    Cancelled
    2.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    27 min
    • Arrived on time 65% of the time (142 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 52% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 142 flights

    Find JetBlue 1875 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · JetBlue 2876

    5:36 PM → 8:38 PM3h 02m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    58%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    57%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    44 min
    • Arrived on time 57% of the time (113 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 115 scheduled flights.
    • 69% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 113 flights

    Find JetBlue 2876 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines77%

    905 flights · 77% on time as flown · 1.0% cancel

  • JetBlue74%

    712 flights · 75% on time as flown · 1.7% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM88%

    678 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 9 AM to noon84%

    214 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • Noon to 3 PM72%

    187 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • 3 to 6 PM60%

    342 flights · avg delay 28 min

  • 6 to 9 PM60%

    173 flights · avg delay 40 min

Best day: Tuesday (81%). Worst: Sunday (71%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
72
F
76
M
79
A
84
M
78
J
75
J
58
A
75
S
85
O
87
N
83
D
72

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft45%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume35%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)19%
  • Severe weather1%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

PVD to MCO questions

What time of day is best to fly PVD to MCO?
Before 9 AM: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 60% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from PVD to MCO?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 77% chance of operating and arriving on time over 905 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on PVD to MCO?
July (58% on time); the best was October (87%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from PVD

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops