Skip to content

All Products

My Airports

Your shortcuts, saved on this device. Search to add an airport.

No airports saved yet. Add the fields you visit most.

Ask ATIS

Route on-time record

MCO to PVD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Orlando (Orlando International Airport) to Providence/Warwick (Rhode Island T. F. Green International Airport). 1,615 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 72% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.4% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 1254 at 6:30 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MCO → PVD

Orlando to Providence/Warwick: 1,615 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

72%

Cancelled

1.4%

avg delay 19 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

90% on time vs 64% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

73% chance on time

Check MCO to PVD fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 1254

    6:30 AM → 9:15 AM2h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    96%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 96% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 47 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 47 flights

    Find Southwest 1254 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Southwest 1103

    7:05 AM → 9:55 AM2h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (16 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (16 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 16 flights

    Find Southwest 1103 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · JetBlue 2075

    10:00 AM → 12:52 PM2h 53m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (22 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (22 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 22 flights

    Find JetBlue 2075 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · JetBlue 1075

    1:45 PM → 4:38 PM2h 53m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (119 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 119 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 119 flights

    Find JetBlue 1075 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  5. #5 · Southwest 3287

    1:50 PM → 4:35 PM2h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    73%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (39 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 39 flights

    Find Southwest 3287 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  6. #6 · Southwest 1942

    3:15 PM → 6:05 PM2h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    73%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 1942 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  7. #7 · JetBlue 1976

    5:50 PM → 8:38 PM2h 48m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-29.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (16 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (16 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 16 flights

    Find JetBlue 1976 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  8. #8 · JetBlue 2876

    10:40 AM → 1:30 PM2h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-28.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    68%
    Cancelled
    2.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 68% of the time (155 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 155 flights

    Find JetBlue 2876 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  9. #9 · JetBlue 1276

    10:59 AM → 1:47 PM2h 48m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-27.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    61%
    Cancelled
    3.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 61% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (28 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 28 flights

    Find JetBlue 1276 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  10. #10 · JetBlue 2875

    7:10 PM → 10:07 PM2h 54m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    66%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    68%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    27 min
    • Arrived on time 68% of the time (174 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 174 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 64% on time; Before 9 AM: 90%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 174 flights

    Find JetBlue 2875 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines73%

    906 flights · 74% on time as flown · 1.1% cancel

  • JetBlue69%

    709 flights · 70% on time as flown · 1.6% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM90%

    244 flights · avg delay 4 min

  • 9 AM to noon81%

    209 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • Noon to 3 PM75%

    365 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 3 to 6 PM67%

    170 flights · avg delay 25 min

  • 6 to 9 PM64%

    592 flights · avg delay 28 min

Best day: Wednesday (81%). Worst: Sunday (70%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • MCO → ORH 90% chance on time

    Orlando International Airport to Worcester Regional Airport · 362 flights a year · 44 mi from your airports · yours: 71%

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
80
F
75
M
69
A
83
M
73
J
68
J
62
A
66
S
83
O
83
N
80
D
77

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft51%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)26%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume17%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

MCO to PVD questions

What time of day is best to fly MCO to PVD?
Before 9 AM: 90% of flights arrived on time, against 64% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MCO to PVD?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 73% chance of operating and arriving on time over 906 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MCO to PVD?
July (62% on time); the best was April (83%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MCO

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops