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Route on-time record

DCA to PVD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport) to Providence/Warwick (Rhode Island T. F. Green International Airport). 2,461 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 72% arrived within 15 minutes and 4.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 2975 at 10:57 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

DCA → PVD

Washington to Providence/Warwick: 2,461 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

72%

Cancelled

4.6%

avg delay 20 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

82% on time vs 59% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

American

73% chance on time

Check DCA to PVD fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $222 (American 3336 on 2026-10-30). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · American 2975

    10:57 AM → 12:22 PM1h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    3.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (52 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.7% of the time (2 of 54).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 82% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 59%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 52 flights

    Find American 2975 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 271

    10:40 AM → 12:05 PM1h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 82% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 59%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 87% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 28 flights

    Find Southwest 271 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 2794

    10:55 AM → 12:25 PM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (46 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 46 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 82% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 59%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 46 flights

    Find Southwest 2794 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · American 815

    10:00 AM → 11:29 AM1h 29m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (12 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 82% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 59%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (12 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 12 flights

    Find American 815 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · PSA 5337 · sold as American Eagle

    10:00 AM → 11:29 AM1h 29m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    9.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    0 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 82% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 59%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find 10:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · American 1517

    12:59 PM → 2:25 PM1h 26m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    69%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    32 min
    • Arrived on time 69% of the time (26 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (26 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 26 flights

    Find American 1517 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Republic 4639 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    10:23 PM → 11:59 PM1h 36m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    5.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (36 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 5.3% of the time (2 of 38).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (36 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 36 flights

    Find 10:23 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Republic 4391 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    10:00 AM → 11:36 AM1h 36m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (26 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 82% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 59%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (26 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 26 flights

    Find 10:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · American 3188

    1:11 PM → 2:38 PM1h 27m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    76%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 76% of the time (38 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 38 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (38 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 38 flights

    Find American 3188 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Southwest 591

    7:35 PM → 9:00 PM1h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    73%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 100% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 591 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • American Airlines73%

    467 flights · 77% on time as flown · 2.6% cancel

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)72%

    67 flights · 74% on time as flown · 4.1% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines72%

    672 flights · 73% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)68%

    168 flights · 71% on time as flown · 5.0% cancel

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)64%

    1,087 flights · 69% on time as flown · 7.2% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM81%

    258 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • 9 AM to noon82%

    655 flights · avg delay 12 min

  • Noon to 3 PM78%

    452 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 3 to 6 PM59%

    733 flights · avg delay 32 min

  • After 9 PM63%

    314 flights · avg delay 23 min

Best day: Saturday (82%). Worst: Friday (75%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • BWI → PVD 77% chance on time

    Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport to Rhode Island T. F. Green International Airport · 1,882 flights a year · 30 mi from your airports · yours: 69%

    Rank flightsFares

  • IAD → BOS 74% chance on time

    Washington Dulles International Airport to Boston Logan International Airport · 1,487 flights a year · 72 mi from your airports · yours: 69%

    Rank flightsFares

  • BWI → BOS 72% chance on time

    Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport to Boston Logan International Airport · 3,613 flights a year · 79 mi from your airports · yours: 69%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
75
F
72
M
78
A
82
M
75
J
75
J
67
A
77
S
84
O
84
N
83
D
77

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft56%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)25%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume12%
  • Severe weather7%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

DCA to PVD questions

What time of day is best to fly DCA to PVD?
9 AM to noon: 82% of flights arrived on time, against 59% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
Which airline is most on time from DCA to PVD?
American, with a season-adjusted 73% chance of operating and arriving on time over 467 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on DCA to PVD?
July (67% on time); the best was October (84%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from DCA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops