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Route on-time record

ORD to VPS: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport) to Valparaiso (Destin-Fort Walton Beach Airport). 326 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Envoy 3954 at 9:41 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

ORD → VPS

Chicago to Valparaiso: 326 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

75%

Cancelled

1.5%

avg delay 17 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

81% on time vs 71% before 9 AM

Most reliable airline

Envoy

76% chance on time

Check ORD to VPS fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Envoy 3954 · sold as American Eagle

    9:41 AM → 12:15 PM2h 34m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as Envoy 3845; its record covers all of them.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (133 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 81% on time; Before 9 AM: 71%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 133 flights

    Find 9:41 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Envoy 4153 · sold as American Eagle

    8:15 AM → 10:50 AM2h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Before 9 AM: 71% on time; 9 AM to noon: 81%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 8:15 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)76%

    214 flights · 78% on time as flown · 1.2% cancel

  • American Airlines70%

    112 flights · 68% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM71%

    177 flights · avg delay 20 min

  • 9 AM to noon81%

    136 flights · avg delay 11 min

Best day: Wednesday (85%). Worst: Thursday (66%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • ORD → ECP 81% chance on time

    Chicago O'Hare International Airport to Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport · 534 flights a year · 44 mi from your airports · yours: 74%

  • ORD → PNS 78% chance on time

    Chicago O'Hare International Airport to Pensacola International Airport · 683 flights a year · 40 mi from your airports · yours: 74%

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
80
F
87
M
84
A
83
M
88
J
83
J
67
A
67
S
-
O
-
N
-
D
68

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft48%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume27%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)13%
  • Severe weather12%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from ORD to VPS…

ORD to VPS questions

What time of day is best to fly ORD to VPS?
9 AM to noon: 81% of flights arrived on time, against 71% for departures before 9 AM.
Which airline is most on time from ORD to VPS?
Envoy, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 214 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on ORD to VPS?
August (67% on time); the best was May (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from ORD

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops