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Route on-time record

ORD to PNS: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport) to Pensacola (Pensacola International Airport). 683 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 80% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was United 2672 at 10:50 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

ORD → PNS

Chicago to Pensacola: 683 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

80%

Cancelled

1.8%

avg delay 16 min

Best time to leave

Noon to 3 PM

86% on time vs 53% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

United

80% chance on time

Check ORD to PNS fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · United 2672

    10:50 AM → 1:18 PM2h 28m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    0.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (277 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 277 flights

    Find United 2672 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · SkyWest 5407 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    2:15 PM → 4:53 PM2h 38m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    4.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 86% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 53%).
    • Departs inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the route's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find 2:15 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Envoy 3706 · sold as American Eagle

    11:50 AM → 2:13 PM2h 23m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    3.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (52 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.7% of the time (2 of 54).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (52 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 52 flights

    Find 11:50 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Envoy 4150 · sold as American Eagle

    10:15 AM → 12:42 PM2h 27m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as Envoy 3795; its record covers all of them.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    3.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (151 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.2% of the time (5 of 156).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 151 flights

    Find 10:15 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Envoy 4023 · sold as American Eagle

    12:01 PM → 2:31 PM2h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    73%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 73% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 86% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 53%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 12:01 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · United 2171

    6:02 PM → 8:28 PM2h 26m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-26.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    53%
    Cancelled
    3.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    40 min
    • Arrived on time 53% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.2% of the time (1 of 31).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 53% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 86%).
    • Departs inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Limited track record · 30 flights

    Find United 2171 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • United Airlines80%

    363 flights · 81% on time as flown · 0.9% cancel

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)80%

    59 flights · 84% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)77%

    222 flights · 77% on time as flown · 2.6% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 9 AM to noon81%

    582 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • Noon to 3 PM86%

    51 flights · avg delay 9 min

  • 6 to 9 PM53%

    31 flights · avg delay 40 min

Best day: Wednesday (86%). Worst: Sunday (78%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
79
F
88
M
80
A
79
M
84
J
84
J
81
A
85
S
88
O
83
N
81
D
79

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft49%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume20%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)16%
  • Severe weather14%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from ORD to PNS…

ORD to PNS questions

What time of day is best to fly ORD to PNS?
Noon to 3 PM: 86% of flights arrived on time, against 53% for departures 6 to 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from ORD to PNS?
United, with a season-adjusted 80% chance of operating and arriving on time over 363 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on ORD to PNS?
January (79% on time); the best was February (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from ORD

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops