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Route on-time record

VPS to ORD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Valparaiso (Destin-Fort Walton Beach Airport) to Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport). 326 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 70% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Envoy 3898 at 12:05 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

VPS → ORD

Valparaiso to Chicago: 326 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

70%

Cancelled

1.2%

avg delay 32 min

Best time to leave

Noon to 3 PM

79% on time vs 65% 9 AM to noon

Most reliable airline

Envoy

73% chance on time

Check VPS to ORD fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Envoy 3898 · sold as American Eagle

    12:05 PM → 2:53 PM2h 48m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    2.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (42 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 79% on time; 9 AM to noon: 65%).
    • Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (42 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 42 flights

    Find 12:05 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Envoy 3845 · sold as American Eagle

    1:00 PM → 3:44 PM2h 44m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    27 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (88 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 90 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 79% on time; 9 AM to noon: 65%).
    • Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Moderate track record · 88 flights

    Find 1:00 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · Envoy 4153 · sold as American Eagle

    11:20 AM → 2:03 PM2h 43m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    73%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (9 AM to noon: 65% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 79%).
    • Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find 11:20 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)73%

    214 flights · 76% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel

  • American Airlines63%

    112 flights · 58% on time as flown · 1.8% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 9 AM to noon65%

    168 flights · avg delay 28 min

  • Noon to 3 PM79%

    145 flights · avg delay 21 min

Best day: Wednesday (82%). Worst: Thursday (64%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • PNS → ORD 77% chance on time

    Pensacola International Airport to Chicago O'Hare International Airport · 683 flights a year · 40 mi from your airports · yours: 69%

  • ECP → ORD 76% chance on time

    Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport to Chicago O'Hare International Airport · 534 flights a year · 44 mi from your airports · yours: 69%

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
70
F
87
M
80
A
82
M
80
J
68
J
63
A
60
S
-
O
-
N
73
D
65

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft42%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)38%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume12%
  • Severe weather7%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

VPS to ORD questions

What time of day is best to fly VPS to ORD?
Noon to 3 PM: 79% of flights arrived on time, against 65% for departures 9 AM to noon.
Which airline is most on time from VPS to ORD?
Envoy, with a season-adjusted 73% chance of operating and arriving on time over 214 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on VPS to ORD?
August (60% on time); the best was February (87%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from VPS

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops