Route on-time record

ORD to ECP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport) to Panama City Beach (Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport). 534 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 82% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.9% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 3605 at 7:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

ORD → ECP

Chicago to Panama City Beach: 534 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

82%

Cancelled

0.9%

avg delay 13 min

Best time to leave

No clear winner

Most reliable airline

Republic

87% chance on time

Check ORD to ECP fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $545 (United 3634 on 2026-10-22). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

#1 · Republic 3605 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
7:00 AM → 9:38 AM2h 38m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-29.
88%
chance on time
On time (history)
91%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
4 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 32 flights
Find 7:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#2 · Republic 4534 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
12:09 PM → 2:44 PM2h 35m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
87%
chance on time
On time (history)
89%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
8 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find 12:09 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#3 · Republic 3609 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
7:10 AM → 9:44 AM2h 34m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-18.
85%
chance on time
On time (history)
80%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
7 min
- Arrived on time 80% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (15 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 15 flights
Find 7:10 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#4 · Envoy 3947 · sold as American Eagle
10:02 AM → 12:38 PM2h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
85%
chance on time
On time (history)
89%
Cancelled
2.7%
Avg arrival delay
7 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (72 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 72 flights
Find 10:02 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#5 · Envoy 3677 · sold as American Eagle
11:58 AM → 2:24 PM2h 26m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
82%
chance on time
On time (history)
85%
Cancelled
3.7%
Avg arrival delay
13 min
- Arrived on time 85% of the time (52 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.7% of the time (2 of 54).
- Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 56% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 52 flights
Find 11:58 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#6 · Southwest 3895
12:55 PM → 3:20 PM2h 25m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
80%
chance on time
On time (history)
75%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
11 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 87% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the route's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 3895 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#7 · United 1793
10:39 AM → 1:14 PM2h 35m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.
79%
chance on time
On time (history)
75%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
12 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 20 flights
Find United 1793 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#8 · United 1491
10:47 AM → 1:18 PM2h 31m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as United 1377; its record covers all of them.
78%
chance on time
On time (history)
78%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
21 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (49 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 49 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (49 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 49 flights
Find United 1491 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#9 · SkyWest 4654 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
7:05 AM → 9:44 AM2h 39m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 5595; its record covers all of them.
76%
chance on time
On time (history)
74%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
27 min
- Arrived on time 74% of the time (35 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 35 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 51% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 35 flights
Find 7:05 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#10 · SkyWest 5871 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
10:42 AM → 1:21 PM2h 39m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
73%
chance on time
On time (history)
56%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
24 min
- Arrived on time 56% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find 10:42 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)87%
182 flights · 89% on time as flown · 0.4% cancel
Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)80%
157 flights · 82% on time as flown · 2.1% cancel
United Airlines80%
104 flights · 79% on time as flown · 0.6% cancel
SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)76%
83 flights · 72% on time as flown · 0.6% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

Before 9 AM81%
96 flights · avg delay 15 min
9 AM to noon82%
420 flights · avg delay 13 min

Best day: Thursday (85%). Worst: Friday (74%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

What delays this route

Late-arriving aircraft42%
Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)24%
Air traffic control and airport volume24%
Severe weather10%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

ORD to ECP questions

Which airline is most on time from ORD to ECP?: Republic, with a season-adjusted 87% chance of operating and arriving on time over 182 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on ORD to ECP?: June (71% on time); the best was September (93%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?: No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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