Route on-time record
BNA to ECP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Nashville (Nashville International Airport) to Panama City Beach (Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport). 1,083 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 79% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.4% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 621 at 7:40 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
BNA → ECP
Nashville to Panama City Beach: 1,083 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
79%
Cancelled
0.4%
avg delay 12 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
94% on time vs 60% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Southwest
79% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Southwest 621
7:40 AM → 9:05 AM1h 25m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 2358; its record covers all of them.
91%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (88 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 88 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 94% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).
- Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 88 flights
Find Southwest 621 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Southwest 4405
12:00 PM → 1:20 PM1h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 23 flights
Find Southwest 4405 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Southwest 3719
11:30 AM → 12:50 PM1h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 100%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 3719 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Southwest 1790
12:40 PM → 2:05 PM1h 25m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (28 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 28 flights
Find Southwest 1790 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Southwest 623
2:15 PM → 3:35 PM1h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 58%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 23 min
- Arrived on time 58% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 31 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 63% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 31 flights
Find Southwest 623 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Southwest 422
6:25 PM → 7:50 PM1h 25m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
68%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 58%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 32 min
- Arrived on time 58% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 31 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 60% on time; Before 9 AM: 94%).
- Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Limited track record · 31 flights
Find Southwest 422 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Southwest 1501
5:35 PM → 6:55 PM1h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
67%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 53%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 27 min
- Arrived on time 53% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 32 flights
Find Southwest 1501 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Southwest 2655
7:10 PM → 8:35 PM1h 25m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
60%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 44%
- Cancelled
- 3.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 33 min
- Arrived on time 44% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.0% of the time (1 of 33).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 60% on time; Before 9 AM: 94%).
- Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 32 flights
Find Southwest 2655 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Southwest Airlines79%
1,083 flights · 79% on time as flown · 0.4% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM94%
357 flights · avg delay 3 min
- 9 AM to noon85%
59 flights · avg delay 6 min
- Noon to 3 PM80%
247 flights · avg delay 12 min
- 3 to 6 PM69%
205 flights · avg delay 16 min
- 6 to 9 PM60%
187 flights · avg delay 28 min
Best day: Tuesday (86%). Worst: Friday (77%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
BNA → VPS 84% chance on time
Nashville International Airport to Destin-Fort Walton Beach Airport · 820 flights a year · 44 mi from your airports · yours: 79%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft65%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)26%
- Air traffic control and airport volume8%
- Severe weather2%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
BNA to ECP questions
- What time of day is best to fly BNA to ECP?
- Before 9 AM: 94% of flights arrived on time, against 60% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from BNA to ECP?
- Southwest, with a season-adjusted 79% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,083 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on BNA to ECP?
- July (68% on time); the best was September (89%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from BNA
- ECP to BNA (return)
- BNA to ORD 70%
- BNA to DCA 74%
- BNA to ATL 84%
- BNA to LGA 72%
- BNA to DEN 76%
- BNA to CLT 78%
- BNA to DFW 74%
- BNA to MCO 75%
- BNA to AUS 82%
- BNA to BOS 69%
- BNA to PHL 74%
- BNA to TPA 75%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops