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Route on-time record

BNA to PHL: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Nashville (Nashville International Airport) to Philadelphia (Philadelphia International Airport). 2,784 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 74% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 1679 at 6:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

BNA → PHL

Nashville to Philadelphia: 2,784 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

74%

Cancelled

2.2%

avg delay 22 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

87% on time vs 60% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Spirit

78% chance on time

Check BNA to PHL fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $152 (Frontier 1428 on 2026-10-19). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · American 1679

    6:00 AM → 9:05 AM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    10.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (17 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (17 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 17 flights

    Find American 1679 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · American 2809

    6:30 AM → 9:35 AM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    1.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    28 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (202 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 202 flights

    Find American 2809 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 149

    9:50 AM → 12:55 PM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 1895; its record covers all of them.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (75 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 75 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 75 flights

    Find Southwest 149 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Republic 4428 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    9:37 AM → 12:48 PM2h 11m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    3.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (52 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.7% of the time (2 of 54).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 82% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 52 flights

    Find 9:37 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · American 883

    7:10 AM → 10:15 AM2h 08m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    3.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (89 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.3% of the time (3 of 92).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 89 flights

    Find American 883 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · PSA 5576 · sold as American Eagle

    8:55 AM → 12:05 PM2h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as PSA 5574; its record covers all of them.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (53 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 54 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 53 flights

    Find 8:55 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · American 3130

    1:09 PM → 4:20 PM2h 11m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 1863; its record covers all of them.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    76%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    24 min
    • Arrived on time 76% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find American 3130 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · American 3221

    12:02 PM → 3:10 PM2h 08m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    73%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    28 min
    • Arrived on time 73% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find American 3221 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · PSA 5580 · sold as American Eagle

    7:26 PM → 10:37 PM2h 11m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as PSA 5657; its record covers all of them.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    3.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (51 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.8% of the time (2 of 53).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 60% on time; Before 9 AM: 87%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 51 flights

    Find 7:26 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Republic 4770 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    2:26 PM → 5:39 PM2h 13m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    3.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (52 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.7% of the time (2 of 54).
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Limited track record · 52 flights

    Find 2:26 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Spirit Airlines78%

    81 flights · 83% on time as flown · 1.4% cancel

  • American Airlines74%

    1,086 flights · 75% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)73%

    221 flights · 76% on time as flown · 3.3% cancel

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)72%

    352 flights · 76% on time as flown · 3.9% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines72%

    891 flights · 72% on time as flown · 1.1% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines65%

    153 flights · 64% on time as flown · 2.8% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM87%

    436 flights · avg delay 19 min

  • 9 AM to noon86%

    791 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • Noon to 3 PM67%

    717 flights · avg delay 23 min

  • 3 to 6 PM63%

    458 flights · avg delay 34 min

  • 6 to 9 PM60%

    357 flights · avg delay 25 min

Best day: Tuesday (80%). Worst: Sunday (73%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
80
F
82
M
78
A
78
M
68
J
72
J
68
A
76
S
79
O
79
N
80
D
76

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft55%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)31%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume12%
  • Severe weather3%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

BNA to PHL questions

What time of day is best to fly BNA to PHL?
Before 9 AM: 87% of flights arrived on time, against 60% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from BNA to PHL?
Spirit, with a season-adjusted 78% chance of operating and arriving on time over 81 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on BNA to PHL?
July (68% on time); the best was February (82%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from BNA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops