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Route on-time record

BNA to VPS: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Nashville (Nashville International Airport) to Valparaiso (Destin-Fort Walton Beach Airport). 820 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 84% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 1092 at 8:15 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

BNA → VPS

Nashville to Valparaiso: 820 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

84%

Cancelled

0.2%

avg delay 9 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

98% on time vs 74% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

84% chance on time

Check BNA to VPS fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 1092

    8:15 AM → 9:45 AM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 2651; its record covers all of them.

    91%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (41 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 41 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (41 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 41 flights

    Find Southwest 1092 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 1204

    7:50 AM → 9:20 AM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 47 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (47 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 47 flights

    Find Southwest 1204 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 470

    1:50 PM → 3:20 PM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29. Same departure also flew as Southwest 1189; its record covers all of them.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    69%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 69% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 50% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 39 flights

    Find Southwest 470 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Southwest 2186

    7:35 PM → 9:05 PM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 4698; its record covers all of them.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    57%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    26 min
    • Arrived on time 57% of the time (87 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 88 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 74% on time; 9 AM to noon: 98%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 87 flights

    Find Southwest 2186 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines84%

    820 flights · 84% on time as flown · 0.2% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM94%

    305 flights · avg delay 2 min

  • 9 AM to noon98%

    63 flights · avg delay 1 min

  • Noon to 3 PM80%

    89 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • 3 to 6 PM76%

    124 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • 6 to 9 PM74%

    239 flights · avg delay 15 min

Best day: Saturday (88%). Worst: Friday (78%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
86
F
93
M
83
A
83
M
71
J
78
J
76
A
87
S
90
O
88
N
92
D
86

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft62%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)27%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume10%
  • Severe weather1%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from BNA to VPS…

BNA to VPS questions

What time of day is best to fly BNA to VPS?
9 AM to noon: 98% of flights arrived on time, against 74% for departures 6 to 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from BNA to VPS?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 84% chance of operating and arriving on time over 820 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on BNA to VPS?
May (71% on time); the best was February (93%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from BNA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops