Route on-time record
ECP to BNA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Panama City Beach (Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport) to Nashville (Nashville International Airport). 1,081 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 82% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 2870 at 7:20 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
ECP → BNA
Panama City Beach to Nashville: 1,081 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
82%
Cancelled
0.2%
avg delay 11 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
94% on time vs 68% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Southwest
82% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Southwest 2870
7:20 AM → 8:45 AM1h 25m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
91%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 94% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 68%).
- Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 32 flights
Find Southwest 2870 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Southwest 565
7:10 AM → 8:40 AM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
89%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 85%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 85% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 94% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 68%).
- Short track record (55 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 55 flights
Find Southwest 565 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Southwest 336
11:05 AM → 12:35 PM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
87%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 93%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 93% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (15 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 15 flights
Find Southwest 336 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Southwest 2297
9:55 AM → 11:25 AM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.
87%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 23 flights
Find Southwest 2297 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Southwest 311
1:25 PM → 2:55 PM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 13 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (155 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 155 scheduled flights.
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 54% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 155 flights
Find Southwest 311 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Southwest 431
2:00 PM → 3:30 PM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 91% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 431 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Southwest 2725
12:05 PM → 1:35 PM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 63%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 23 min
- Arrived on time 63% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 70% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 24 flights
Find Southwest 2725 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Southwest 2591
4:55 PM → 6:25 PM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 61%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 17 min
- Arrived on time 61% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 68% on time; Before 9 AM: 94%).
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 58% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 28 flights
Find Southwest 2591 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · Southwest 1204
5:05 PM → 6:35 PM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-04.
69%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 62%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 62% of the time (13 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 68% on time; Before 9 AM: 94%).
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 71% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 13 flights
Find Southwest 1204 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · Southwest 3604
6:25 PM → 7:55 PM1h 30m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
66%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 47%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 26 min
- Arrived on time 47% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 47 scheduled flights.
- 62% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (47 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 47 flights
Find Southwest 3604 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Southwest Airlines82%
1,081 flights · 82% on time as flown · 0.2% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM94%
363 flights · avg delay 4 min
- 9 AM to noon90%
165 flights · avg delay 6 min
- Noon to 3 PM76%
186 flights · avg delay 13 min
- 3 to 6 PM68%
239 flights · avg delay 18 min
- 6 to 9 PM74%
128 flights · avg delay 17 min
Best day: Tuesday (88%). Worst: Sunday (81%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
VPS → BNA 89% chance on time
Destin-Fort Walton Beach Airport to Nashville International Airport · 820 flights a year · 44 mi from your airports · yours: 82%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft58%
- Air traffic control and airport volume26%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)13%
- Severe weather3%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
ECP to BNA questions
- What time of day is best to fly ECP to BNA?
- Before 9 AM: 94% of flights arrived on time, against 68% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from ECP to BNA?
- Southwest, with a season-adjusted 82% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,081 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on ECP to BNA?
- May (76% on time); the best was September (93%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from ECP
- BNA to ECP (return)
- ECP to ATL 85%
- ECP to DFW 76%
- ECP to CLT 86%
- ECP to DAL 82%
- ECP to AUS 76%
- ECP to ORD 78%
- ECP to DCA 72%
- ECP to HOU 82%
- ECP to STL 78%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops