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Route on-time record

BNA to MCO: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Nashville (Nashville International Airport) to Orlando (Orlando International Airport). 3,470 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 2450 at 5:25 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

BNA → MCO

Nashville to Orlando: 3,470 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

75%

Cancelled

1.5%

avg delay 16 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

90% on time vs 62% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

75% chance on time

Check BNA to MCO fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $83 (Frontier 3560 on 2026-10-29). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 2450

    5:25 AM → 8:15 AM1h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    92%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 62%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 32 flights

    Find Southwest 2450 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 2175

    8:45 AM → 11:35 AM1h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 62%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 2175 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 2289

    7:40 AM → 10:35 AM1h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 62%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 2289 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Southwest 3176

    6:40 AM → 9:40 AM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 62%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 33 flights

    Find Southwest 3176 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Southwest 4159

    8:55 AM → 11:45 AM1h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 1971; its record covers all of them.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (87 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 88 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 62%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 87 flights

    Find Southwest 4159 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 1696

    7:05 AM → 10:05 AM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-04.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    69%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 69% of the time (13 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 62%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (13 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 13 flights

    Find Southwest 1696 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Southwest 3666

    11:10 AM → 2:05 PM1h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    5.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (19 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (19 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 19 flights

    Find Southwest 3666 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Spirit 980

    9:30 AM → 12:20 PM1h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-01. Same departure also flew as Spirit 721; its record covers all of them.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    13.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (68 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 13.9% of the time (11 of 79).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 75% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 68 flights

    Find Spirit 980 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Southwest 2201

    10:50 AM → 1:40 PM1h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    72%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    21 min
    • Arrived on time 72% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 39 flights

    Find Southwest 2201 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Southwest 2486

    3:10 PM → 6:05 PM1h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30. Same departure also flew as Southwest 4156; its record covers all of them.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 62% on time; Before 9 AM: 90%).
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 15 flights

    Find Southwest 2486 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines75%

    2,530 flights · 75% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel

  • Spirit Airlines74%

    792 flights · 78% on time as flown · 4.0% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines74%

    119 flights · 71% on time as flown · 0.9% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM90%

    999 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 9 AM to noon82%

    628 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • Noon to 3 PM73%

    469 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • 3 to 6 PM62%

    726 flights · avg delay 25 min

  • 6 to 9 PM64%

    508 flights · avg delay 23 min

  • After 9 PM65%

    140 flights · avg delay 25 min

Best day: Tuesday (85%). Worst: Sunday (71%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
82
F
81
M
73
A
82
M
67
J
69
J
66
A
75
S
85
O
83
N
84
D
79

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft49%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume26%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)24%
  • Severe weather1%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

BNA to MCO questions

What time of day is best to fly BNA to MCO?
Before 9 AM: 90% of flights arrived on time, against 62% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from BNA to MCO?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 75% chance of operating and arriving on time over 2,530 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on BNA to MCO?
July (66% on time); the best was September (85%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from BNA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops