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Route on-time record

SDF to DFW: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Louisville (Louisville Muhammad Ali International Airport) to Dallas-Fort Worth (Dallas Fort Worth International Airport). 2,030 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 74% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.3% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 2977 at 6:07 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

SDF → DFW

Louisville to Dallas-Fort Worth: 2,030 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

74%

Cancelled

3.3%

avg delay 30 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

84% on time vs 63% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Envoy

76% chance on time

Check SDF to DFW fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · American 2977

    6:07 AM → 7:39 AM2h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as American 927; its record covers all of them.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    24 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (42 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 43 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 84% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 63%).
    • Short track record (42 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 42 flights

    Find American 2977 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · PSA 5644 · sold as American Eagle

    2:01 PM → 3:38 PM2h 37m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    2.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    23 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (98 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 98 flights

    Find 2:01 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · American 1652

    6:00 AM → 7:44 AM2h 44m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    4.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    54 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (120 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.0% of the time (5 of 125).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 84% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 63%).

    Moderate track record · 120 flights

    Find American 1652 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · Envoy 3788 · sold as American Eagle

    11:06 AM → 12:30 PM2h 24m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find 11:06 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  5. #5 · American 331

    7:16 AM → 8:45 AM2h 29m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    81%
    Cancelled
    4.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 81% of the time (132 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.3% of the time (6 of 138).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 84% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 63%).

    Moderate track record · 132 flights

    Find American 331 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  6. #6 · American 3246

    7:36 AM → 9:10 AM2h 34m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as American 2228; its record covers all of them.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    81%
    Cancelled
    1.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 81% of the time (96 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 84% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 63%).

    Moderate track record · 96 flights

    Find American 3246 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  7. #7 · American 3138

    10:49 AM → 12:28 PM2h 39m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 30 scheduled flights.
    • 74% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (30 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 30 flights

    Find American 3138 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  8. #8 · American 2758

    11:00 AM → 12:26 PM2h 26m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    2.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    32 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (42 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (42 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 42 flights

    Find American 2758 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  9. #9 · PSA 5038 · sold as American Eagle

    1:43 PM → 3:10 PM2h 27m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    73%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    23 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (14 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (14 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 14 flights

    Find 1:43 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  10. #10 · Envoy 3758 · sold as American Eagle

    3:52 PM → 5:16 PM2h 24m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    20 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find 3:52 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)76%

    272 flights · 77% on time as flown · 2.1% cancel

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)74%

    55 flights · 77% on time as flown · 2.9% cancel

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)71%

    523 flights · 75% on time as flown · 4.9% cancel

  • American Airlines71%

    1,159 flights · 73% on time as flown · 3.0% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM84%

    484 flights · avg delay 25 min

  • 9 AM to noon77%

    283 flights · avg delay 21 min

  • Noon to 3 PM79%

    520 flights · avg delay 23 min

  • 3 to 6 PM64%

    254 flights · avg delay 32 min

  • 6 to 9 PM63%

    489 flights · avg delay 48 min

Best day: Tuesday (80%). Worst: Thursday (73%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • SDF → DAL 85% chance on time

    Louisville Muhammad Ali International Airport to Dallas Love Field · 351 flights a year · 12 mi from your airports · yours: 72%

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
71
F
79
M
80
A
72
M
68
J
67
J
72
A
78
S
78
O
84
N
79
D
81

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)47%
  • Late-arriving aircraft37%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume12%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

SDF to DFW questions

What time of day is best to fly SDF to DFW?
Before 9 AM: 84% of flights arrived on time, against 63% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from SDF to DFW?
Envoy, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 272 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on SDF to DFW?
June (67% on time); the best was October (84%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from SDF

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops