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Route on-time record

ORD to TUL: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport) to Tulsa (Tulsa International Airport). 2,114 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 73% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 5318 at 12:51 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

ORD → TUL

Chicago to Tulsa: 2,114 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

73%

Cancelled

2.5%

avg delay 20 min

Best time to leave

Noon to 3 PM

80% on time vs 65% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

75% chance on time

Check ORD to TUL fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · SkyWest 5318 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    12:51 PM → 3:02 PM2h 11m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 80% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 65%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 12:51 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · SkyWest 5795 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    8:45 AM → 11:01 AM2h 16m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    0.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (341 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 341 flights

    Find 8:45 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · SkyWest 5468 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    12:44 PM → 2:57 PM2h 13m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 5757; its record covers all of them.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    76%
    Cancelled
    1.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 76% of the time (192 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 80% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 65%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 192 flights

    Find 12:44 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · SkyWest 6427 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    11:14 AM → 1:21 PM2h 07m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    21 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 97% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 11:14 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · SkyWest 6450 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    6:40 AM → 8:50 AM2h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 44 flights

    Find 6:40 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Envoy 3739 · sold as American Eagle

    8:15 AM → 10:29 AM2h 14m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-04.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (28 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 28 flights

    Find 8:15 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Envoy 4135 · sold as American Eagle

    9:40 AM → 11:49 AM2h 09m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 9:40 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Envoy 3827 · sold as American Eagle

    4:59 PM → 7:10 PM2h 11m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 4:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Envoy 4211 · sold as American Eagle

    4:52 PM → 7:02 PM2h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    4.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (133 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.3% of the time (6 of 140).
    • Departs inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • 53% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 133 flights

    Find 4:52 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Envoy 4281 · sold as American Eagle

    9:50 PM → 11:56 PM2h 06m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    1.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    19 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (115 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 53% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 115 flights

    Find 9:50 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)75%

    69 flights · 84% on time as flown · 4.5% cancel

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)74%

    1,044 flights · 75% on time as flown · 1.6% cancel

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)70%

    809 flights · 72% on time as flown · 2.8% cancel

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)67%

    179 flights · 67% on time as flown · 3.9% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM77%

    392 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • 9 AM to noon74%

    284 flights · avg delay 28 min

  • Noon to 3 PM80%

    483 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 3 to 6 PM69%

    368 flights · avg delay 20 min

  • 6 to 9 PM65%

    309 flights · avg delay 30 min

  • After 9 PM68%

    278 flights · avg delay 22 min

Best day: Monday (79%). Worst: Sunday (72%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • MDW → TUL 77% chance on time

    Chicago Midway International Airport to Tulsa International Airport · 430 flights a year · 15 mi from your airports · yours: 71%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
71
F
78
M
80
A
78
M
68
J
76
J
64
A
78
S
83
O
82
N
80
D
75

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft41%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)29%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume18%
  • Severe weather12%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

ORD to TUL questions

What time of day is best to fly ORD to TUL?
Noon to 3 PM: 80% of flights arrived on time, against 65% for departures 6 to 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from ORD to TUL?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 75% chance of operating and arriving on time over 69 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on ORD to TUL?
July (64% on time); the best was September (83%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from ORD

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops