Route on-time record
TUL to ORD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Tulsa (Tulsa International Airport) to Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport). 2,116 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 76% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.3% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 5687 at 10:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
TUL → ORD
Tulsa to Chicago: 2,116 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
76%
Cancelled
2.3%
avg delay 23 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
81% on time vs 67% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
SkyWest
77% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $238 (United 4393 on 2026-10-23). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · SkyWest 5687 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
10:00 AM → 12:05 PM2h 05m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 0.4%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (275 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 81% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 67%).
Strong track record · 275 flights
Find 10:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · SkyWest 5691 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
9:53 AM → 12:07 PM2h 14m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 5535, 5407; its record covers all of them.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 21 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (63 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 63 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 81% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 67%).
Moderate track record · 63 flights
Find 9:53 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Envoy 3590 · sold as American Eagle
6:47 AM → 8:59 AM2h 12m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 81%
- Cancelled
- 0.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (130 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
Moderate track record · 130 flights
Find 6:47 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · SkyWest 5288 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
7:15 AM → 9:20 AM2h 05m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 2.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 26 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (180 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
Moderate track record · 180 flights
Find 7:15 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · SkyWest 6450 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
9:25 AM → 11:34 AM2h 09m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 77%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 77% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 81% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 67%).
- Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find 9:25 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · SkyWest 6386 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
1:51 PM → 4:03 PM2h 12m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 19 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 55% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 1:51 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · SkyWest 6000 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
2:35 PM → 4:46 PM2h 11m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 5296; its record covers all of them.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 77%
- Cancelled
- 1.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 24 min
- Arrived on time 77% of the time (352 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Strong track record · 352 flights
Find 2:35 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Envoy 3683 · sold as American Eagle
8:48 AM → 10:52 AM2h 04m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 2.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (142 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
Moderate track record · 142 flights
Find 8:48 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · Envoy 3827 · sold as American Eagle
7:43 PM → 10:05 PM2h 22m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 67% on time; 9 AM to noon: 81%).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 7:43 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · Envoy 4221 · sold as American Eagle
8:55 AM → 10:56 AM2h 01m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 20 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (53 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 53 scheduled flights.
- Short track record (53 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 53 flights
Find 8:55 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)77%
1,048 flights · 78% on time as flown · 1.4% cancel
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)74%
69 flights · 81% on time as flown · 3.8% cancel
- Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)73%
807 flights · 76% on time as flown · 2.8% cancel
- PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)63%
179 flights · 58% on time as flown · 3.2% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM79%
562 flights · avg delay 20 min
- 9 AM to noon81%
494 flights · avg delay 16 min
- Noon to 3 PM72%
593 flights · avg delay 31 min
- 3 to 6 PM76%
155 flights · avg delay 25 min
- 6 to 9 PM67%
310 flights · avg delay 25 min
Best day: Wednesday (83%). Worst: Sunday (79%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
TUL → MDW 83% chance on time
Tulsa International Airport to Chicago Midway International Airport · 430 flights a year · 15 mi from your airports · yours: 74%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft42%
- Air traffic control and airport volume25%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)22%
- Severe weather11%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
TUL to ORD questions
- What time of day is best to fly TUL to ORD?
- 9 AM to noon: 81% of flights arrived on time, against 67% for departures 6 to 9 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from TUL to ORD?
- SkyWest, with a season-adjusted 77% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,048 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on TUL to ORD?
- July (71% on time); the best was September (85%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from TUL
- ORD to TUL (return)
- TUL to DFW 78%
- TUL to DEN 79%
- TUL to ATL 86%
- TUL to PHX 82%
- TUL to IAH 84%
- TUL to DAL 86%
- TUL to LAS 83%
- TUL to CLT 85%
- TUL to HOU 86%
- TUL to LGA 79%
- TUL to STL 89%
- TUL to SLC 92%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops