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Route on-time record

ORD to CVG: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport) to Cincinnati / Covington (Cincinnati Northern Kentucky International Airport). 4,607 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 71% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 3498 at 6:59 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

ORD → CVG

Chicago to Cincinnati / Covington: 4,607 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

71%

Cancelled

2.8%

avg delay 22 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

83% on time vs 66% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

76% chance on time

Check ORD to CVG fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Republic 3498 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    6:59 AM → 9:23 AM1h 24m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    0.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (293 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 66%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 293 flights

    Find 6:59 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Republic 3436 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    6:00 AM → 8:19 AM1h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    0 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (17 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 66%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (17 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 17 flights

    Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · United 202

    7:00 AM → 9:15 AM1h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (18 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 66%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (18 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 18 flights

    Find United 202 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Republic 3650 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    1:00 PM → 3:27 PM1h 29m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-25. Same departure also flew as Republic 3696; its record covers all of them.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    1.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (215 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 215 flights

    Find 1:00 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Envoy 3489 · sold as American Eagle

    7:07 AM → 9:36 AM1h 29m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 66%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 7:07 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Envoy 3925 · sold as American Eagle

    1:17 PM → 3:43 PM1h 26m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 44 flights

    Find 1:17 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Envoy 3554 · sold as American Eagle

    8:15 AM → 10:41 AM1h 26m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 66%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 44 flights

    Find 8:15 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · United 2138

    2:40 PM → 5:04 PM1h 24m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    2.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    20 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (100 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Moderate track record · 100 flights

    Find United 2138 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Envoy 3894 · sold as American Eagle

    7:00 AM → 9:21 AM1h 21m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    72%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 72% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 47 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 66%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 47 flights

    Find 7:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Envoy 4143 · sold as American Eagle

    1:01 PM → 3:30 PM1h 29m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 1:01 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)76%

    1,407 flights · 78% on time as flown · 2.8% cancel

  • United Airlines70%

    919 flights · 72% on time as flown · 1.7% cancel

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)69%

    37 flights · 69% on time as flown · 3.3% cancel

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)69%

    1,304 flights · 70% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)61%

    872 flights · 64% on time as flown · 4.8% cancel

  • American Airlines59%

    68 flights · 58% on time as flown · 2.4% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM83%

    653 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 9 AM to noon72%

    731 flights · avg delay 19 min

  • Noon to 3 PM73%

    1,037 flights · avg delay 22 min

  • 3 to 6 PM66%

    853 flights · avg delay 28 min

  • 6 to 9 PM68%

    1,003 flights · avg delay 22 min

  • After 9 PM67%

    330 flights · avg delay 29 min

Best day: Saturday (79%). Worst: Sunday (72%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • MDW → CVG 74% chance on time

    Chicago Midway International Airport to Cincinnati Northern Kentucky International Airport · 494 flights a year · 15 mi from your airports · yours: 69%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
70
F
77
M
71
A
80
M
76
J
74
J
67
A
75
S
81
O
82
N
79
D
71

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft42%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)29%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume18%
  • Severe weather11%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

ORD to CVG questions

What time of day is best to fly ORD to CVG?
Before 9 AM: 83% of flights arrived on time, against 66% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from ORD to CVG?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,407 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on ORD to CVG?
July (67% on time); the best was October (82%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from ORD

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops