Route on-time record
CVG to ORD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Cincinnati / Covington (Cincinnati Northern Kentucky International Airport) to Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport). 4,590 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 70% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.1% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 3485 at 10:10 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
CVG → ORD
Cincinnati / Covington to Chicago: 4,590 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
70%
Cancelled
3.1%
avg delay 26 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
81% on time vs 56% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
74% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Republic 3485 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
10:10 AM → 10:46 AM1h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 84%
- Cancelled
- 0.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (312 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 81% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 56%).
Strong track record · 312 flights
Find 10:10 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Envoy 4094 · sold as American Eagle
5:00 AM → 5:33 AM1h 33m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Envoy 3578; its record covers all of them.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 1.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (374 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
Strong track record · 374 flights
Find 5:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Republic 4409 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
2:07 PM → 2:46 PM1h 39m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 25 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 2:07 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Republic 3429 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
4:25 PM → 5:00 PM1h 35m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-05.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 4.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 21 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (206 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.2% of the time (9 of 215).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Strong track record · 206 flights
Find 4:25 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Envoy 3489 · sold as American Eagle
10:06 AM → 10:37 AM1h 31m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 81% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 56%).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 10:06 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Republic 3425 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
9:05 AM → 9:42 AM1h 37m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 80%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 21 min
- Arrived on time 80% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 81% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 56%).
- Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 10 flights
Find 9:05 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Envoy 3775 · sold as American Eagle
7:36 AM → 8:21 AM1h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 86%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 21 min
- Arrived on time 86% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find 7:36 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Republic 3569 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
2:20 PM → 2:55 PM1h 35m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 77%
- Cancelled
- 6.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 19 min
- Arrived on time 77% of the time (75 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 6.3% of the time (5 of 80).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 50% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 75 flights
Find 2:20 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · United 1577
10:35 AM → 11:06 AM1h 31m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 89%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (18 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 81% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 56%).
- Short track record (18 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 18 flights
Find United 1577 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · United 1994
6:50 AM → 7:24 AM1h 34m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 78%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 27 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find United 1994 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)74%
1,388 flights · 76% on time as flown · 3.0% cancel
- Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)71%
1,305 flights · 72% on time as flown · 2.3% cancel
- United Airlines68%
921 flights · 70% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel
- PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)68%
37 flights · 71% on time as flown · 4.1% cancel
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)56%
871 flights · 59% on time as flown · 5.2% cancel
- American Airlines53%
68 flights · 42% on time as flown · 2.6% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM76%
1,294 flights · avg delay 17 min
- 9 AM to noon81%
751 flights · avg delay 17 min
- Noon to 3 PM72%
878 flights · avg delay 24 min
- 3 to 6 PM61%
931 flights · avg delay 38 min
- 6 to 9 PM56%
711 flights · avg delay 39 min
Best day: Wednesday (79%). Worst: Friday (72%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
CVG → MDW 82% chance on time
Cincinnati Northern Kentucky International Airport to Chicago Midway International Airport · 494 flights a year · 15 mi from your airports · yours: 68%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Air traffic control and airport volume36%
- Late-arriving aircraft34%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)21%
- Severe weather9%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
CVG to ORD questions
- What time of day is best to fly CVG to ORD?
- 9 AM to noon: 81% of flights arrived on time, against 56% for departures 6 to 9 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from CVG to ORD?
- Republic, with a season-adjusted 74% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,388 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on CVG to ORD?
- July (69% on time); the best was May (79%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from CVG
- ORD to CVG (return)
- CVG to ATL 86%
- CVG to BOS 79%
- CVG to CLT 79%
- CVG to MCO 79%
- CVG to DFW 74%
- CVG to DEN 81%
- CVG to PHL 78%
- CVG to DCA 62%
- CVG to MIA 79%
- CVG to FLL 76%
- CVG to MSP 85%
- CVG to SLC 83%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops