Route on-time record
MKE to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Milwaukee (General Mitchell International Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 1,484 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 82% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.1% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 3905 at 8:07 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
MKE → MSP
Milwaukee to Minneapolis: 1,484 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
82%
Cancelled
1.1%
avg delay 17 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
89% on time vs 69% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
SkyWest
82% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $94 (SY 1816 on 2026-10-25). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · SkyWest 3905 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
8:07 AM → 9:30 AM1h 23m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
91%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 100%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 1 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 69%).
- Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 25 flights
Find 8:07 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · SkyWest 3926 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
10:15 AM → 11:35 AM1h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
90%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 100%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 1 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 20 flights
Find 10:15 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · SkyWest 3888 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
6:30 AM → 7:57 AM1h 27m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 4114, 3947; its record covers all of them.
86%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 2.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 15 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (143 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 69%).
Moderate track record · 143 flights
Find 6:30 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · SkyWest 3925 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
8:00 AM → 9:28 AM1h 28m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 23 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 69%).
- Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 24 flights
Find 8:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · SkyWest 3501 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
5:48 PM → 7:09 PM1h 21m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 96%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 96% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 25 flights
Find 5:48 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · SkyWest 3762 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
9:21 AM → 10:49 AM1h 28m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 80%
- Cancelled
- 3.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 33 min
- Arrived on time 80% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.2% of the time (1 of 31).
- Short track record (30 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 30 flights
Find 9:21 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · SkyWest 4105 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
10:53 AM → 12:15 PM1h 22m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 24 flights
Find 10:53 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Delta 561
12:15 PM → 1:40 PM1h 25m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 100%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 0 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Delta 561 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · SkyWest 3962 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
6:59 PM → 8:30 PM1h 31m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 77%
- Cancelled
- 2.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 77% of the time (35 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 69% on time; Before 9 AM: 89%).
- Short track record (35 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 35 flights
Find 6:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · Delta 2832
5:48 PM → 7:05 PM1h 17m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-05.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 86%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 86% of the time (14 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (14 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 14 flights
Find Delta 2832 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)82%
779 flights · 83% on time as flown · 1.4% cancel
- Delta Air Lines80%
705 flights · 81% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM89%
426 flights · avg delay 15 min
- 9 AM to noon88%
317 flights · avg delay 13 min
- Noon to 3 PM80%
176 flights · avg delay 11 min
- 3 to 6 PM75%
426 flights · avg delay 22 min
- 6 to 9 PM69%
139 flights · avg delay 29 min
Best day: Saturday (87%). Worst: Monday (83%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)56%
- Late-arriving aircraft17%
- Severe weather17%
- Air traffic control and airport volume10%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
MKE to MSP questions
- What time of day is best to fly MKE to MSP?
- Before 9 AM: 89% of flights arrived on time, against 69% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from MKE to MSP?
- SkyWest, with a season-adjusted 82% chance of operating and arriving on time over 779 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on MKE to MSP?
- January (75% on time); the best was November (92%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from MKE
- MSP to MKE (return)
- MKE to ORD 67%
- MKE to DEN 78%
- MKE to ATL 89%
- MKE to DTW 81%
- MKE to PHX 79%
- MKE to MCO 76%
- MKE to DCA 75%
- MKE to LAS 82%
- MKE to DFW 74%
- MKE to BNA 82%
- MKE to CLT 79%
- MKE to BWI 85%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops