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Route on-time record

MKE to EWR: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Milwaukee (General Mitchell International Airport) to Newark (Newark Liberty International Airport). 818 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 77% arrived within 15 minutes and 5.1% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 3470 at 6:14 AM.

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MKE → EWR

Milwaukee to Newark: 818 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

77%

Cancelled

5.1%

avg delay 21 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

89% on time vs 68% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

74% chance on time

Check MKE to EWR fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $331 (United 3616 on 2026-11-06). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Republic 3470 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    6:14 AM → 9:35 AM2h 21m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    3.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (128 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.7% of the time (5 of 134).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 68%).

    Moderate track record · 128 flights

    Find 6:14 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Republic 3609 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    10:53 AM → 2:14 PM2h 21m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Republic 3469; its record covers all of them.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
    • Lands inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 261 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 32 flights

    Find 10:53 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · Republic 3510 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    6:40 PM → 9:59 PM2h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    64%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    68%
    Cancelled
    8.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    29 min
    • Arrived on time 68% of the time (236 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 8.5% of the time (22 of 259).

    Strong track record · 236 flights

    Find 6:40 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)74%

    818 flights · 77% on time as flown · 5.1% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM89%

    155 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 9 AM to noon79%

    330 flights · avg delay 20 min

  • 3 to 6 PM68%

    132 flights · avg delay 17 min

  • 6 to 9 PM71%

    201 flights · avg delay 32 min

Best day: Tuesday (87%). Worst: Thursday (78%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • MKE → LGA 76% chance on time

    General Mitchell International Airport to LaGuardia Airport · 782 flights a year · 17 mi from your airports · yours: 73%

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
84
F
88
M
87
A
89
M
84
J
79
J
70
A
82
S
86
O
85
N
79
D
76

What delays this route

  • Air traffic control and airport volume39%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)28%
  • Late-arriving aircraft24%
  • Severe weather8%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from MKE to EWR…

MKE to EWR questions

What time of day is best to fly MKE to EWR?
Before 9 AM: 89% of flights arrived on time, against 68% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MKE to EWR?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 74% chance of operating and arriving on time over 818 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MKE to EWR?
July (70% on time); the best was April (89%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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Live status: FAA delays and ground stops