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Route on-time record

JFK to PHX: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

New York (John F. Kennedy International Airport) to Phoenix (Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport). 2,919 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 78% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.7% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 2369 at 6:35 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

JFK → PHX

New York to Phoenix: 2,919 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

78%

Cancelled

2.7%

avg delay 18 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

86% on time vs 71% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

American

80% chance on time

Check JFK to PHX fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $150 (JetBlue 135 on 2026-10-20). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · American 2369

    6:35 AM → 9:12 AM5h 37m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    2.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (176 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 86% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 71%).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 176 flights

    Find American 2369 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · American 1487

    8:29 AM → 11:17 AM5h 48m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    3.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (220 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.1% of the time (7 of 227).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 86% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 71%).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 220 flights

    Find American 1487 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · American 2829

    12:29 PM → 3:14 PM5h 36m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    1.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (355 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • 59% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Strong track record · 355 flights

    Find American 2829 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · American 2646

    8:19 AM → 11:05 AM5h 46m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    3.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    35 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (142 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.4% of the time (5 of 147).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 86% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 71%).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 142 flights

    Find American 2646 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  5. #5 · Delta 791

    8:05 AM → 10:50 AM5h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    3.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (352 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.3% of the time (12 of 365).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 86% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 71%).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 352 flights

    Find Delta 791 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  6. #6 · American 636

    3:59 PM → 6:34 PM5h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    3.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (130 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.7% of the time (5 of 135).
    • Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Moderate track record · 130 flights

    Find American 636 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  7. #7 · JetBlue 35

    8:29 AM → 11:20 AM5h 51m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-13.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    3.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (163 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.6% of the time (6 of 169).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 86% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 71%).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 163 flights

    Find JetBlue 35 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  8. #8 · American 2339

    6:30 PM → 9:18 PM5h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 2689; its record covers all of them.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    2.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    21 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (184 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 71% on time; Before 9 AM: 86%).
    • Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 184 flights

    Find American 2339 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  9. #9 · American 1769

    9:45 AM → 12:09 PM5h 24m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    73%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    37 min
    • Arrived on time 73% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find American 1769 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  10. #10 · JetBlue 735

    5:20 PM → 8:40 PM5h 48m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    3.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (197 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.4% of the time (7 of 204).
    • Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 197 flights

    Find JetBlue 735 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • American Airlines80%

    1,468 flights · 82% on time as flown · 2.4% cancel

  • JetBlue72%

    531 flights · 74% on time as flown · 2.7% cancel

  • Delta Air Lines72%

    920 flights · 74% on time as flown · 3.2% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM86%

    945 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 9 AM to noon73%

    148 flights · avg delay 33 min

  • Noon to 3 PM83%

    385 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • 3 to 6 PM74%

    971 flights · avg delay 21 min

  • 6 to 9 PM71%

    426 flights · avg delay 24 min

Best day: Tuesday (84%). Worst: Sunday (77%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • EWR → PHX 78% chance on time

    Newark Liberty International Airport to Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport · 2,483 flights a year · 21 mi from your airports · yours: 76%

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
85
F
81
M
85
A
83
M
78
J
77
J
69
A
79
S
82
O
82
N
83
D
78

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft37%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)34%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume26%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

JFK to PHX questions

What time of day is best to fly JFK to PHX?
Before 9 AM: 86% of flights arrived on time, against 71% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from JFK to PHX?
American, with a season-adjusted 80% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,468 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on JFK to PHX?
July (69% on time); the best was March (85%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from JFK

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops