Route on-time record
EWR to SRQ: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Newark (Newark Liberty International Airport) to Sarasota/Bradenton (Sarasota Bradenton International Airport). 937 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 80% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was United 2631 at 7:30 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
EWR → SRQ
Newark to Sarasota/Bradenton: 937 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
80%
Cancelled
2.2%
avg delay 15 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
91% on time vs 45% after 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
81% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $180 (United 1324 on 2026-10-18). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · United 2631
7:30 AM → 10:30 AM3h 05m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
90%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (338 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 45%).
- Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 338 flights
Find United 2631 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · United 2016
8:09 PM → 11:15 PM3h 06m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find United 2016 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · United 1324
8:53 PM → 11:59 PM3h 06m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 3.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (95 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.1% of the time (3 of 98).
- Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 95 flights
Find United 1324 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · United 1226
8:30 AM → 11:19 AM2h 49m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 67%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 67% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 45%).
- Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find United 1226 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · United 2394
3:03 PM → 6:02 PM3h 04m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
73%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 74%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 21 min
- Arrived on time 74% of the time (70 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 70 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Moderate track record · 70 flights
Find United 2394 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)81%
126 flights · 87% on time as flown · 4.5% cancel
- United Airlines78%
811 flights · 79% on time as flown · 1.6% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM91%
361 flights · avg delay 5 min
- Noon to 3 PM83%
176 flights · avg delay 9 min
- 3 to 6 PM76%
33 flights · avg delay 25 min
- 6 to 9 PM72%
311 flights · avg delay 18 min
- After 9 PM45%
53 flights · avg delay 77 min
Best day: Tuesday (84%). Worst: Sunday (76%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
HPN → TPA 89% chance on time
Westchester County Airport to Tampa International Airport · 365 flights a year · 76 mi from your airports · yours: 78%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft53%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)28%
- Air traffic control and airport volume17%
- Severe weather3%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
EWR to SRQ questions
- What time of day is best to fly EWR to SRQ?
- Before 9 AM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 45% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from EWR to SRQ?
- Republic, with a season-adjusted 81% chance of operating and arriving on time over 126 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on EWR to SRQ?
- July (61% on time); the best was February (87%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from EWR
- SRQ to EWR (return)
- EWR to MCO 76%
- EWR to ATL 77%
- EWR to ORD 71%
- EWR to LAX 72%
- EWR to FLL 75%
- EWR to SFO 71%
- EWR to MIA 77%
- EWR to BOS 71%
- EWR to CLT 80%
- EWR to IAH 79%
- EWR to DTW 79%
- EWR to PBI 77%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops