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Route on-time record

DCA to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 2,546 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 78% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 1193 at 6:05 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

DCA → MSP

Washington to Minneapolis: 2,546 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

78%

Cancelled

2.6%

avg delay 22 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

85% on time vs 70% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

78% chance on time

Check DCA to MSP fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $370 (American 5135 on 2026-10-20). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 1193

    6:05 AM → 7:52 AM2h 46m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    2.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (355 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 70%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 355 flights

    Find Delta 1193 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 2958

    12:00 PM → 1:50 PM2h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    81%
    Cancelled
    2.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 81% of the time (344 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Strong track record · 344 flights

    Find Delta 2958 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Delta 1493

    7:40 AM → 9:30 AM2h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (267 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 70%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 267 flights

    Find Delta 1493 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Republic 4689 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    10:00 PM → 11:59 PM2h 59m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-18.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    6.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 6.3% of the time (2 of 32).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (30 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 30 flights

    Find 10:00 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Delta 2983

    2:55 PM → 4:55 PM2h 51m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    1.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    26 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (182 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Moderate track record · 182 flights

    Find Delta 2983 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Envoy 4043 · sold as American Eagle

    3:14 PM → 5:10 PM2h 56m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    73%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    2.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (129 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • 58% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 129 flights

    Find 3:14 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Delta 1486

    3:10 PM → 5:08 PM2h 58m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    70%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    65%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    32 min
    • Arrived on time 65% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 31 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Limited track record · 31 flights

    Find Delta 1486 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Delta 2963

    6:59 PM → 9:25 PM2h 53m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    70%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    71%
    Cancelled
    2.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    44 min
    • Arrived on time 71% of the time (345 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 70% on time; Before 9 AM: 85%).
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 345 flights

    Find Delta 2963 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · PSA 5506 · sold as American Eagle

    8:59 PM → 10:52 PM2h 53m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    66%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    64%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    30 min
    • Arrived on time 64% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 70% on time; Before 9 AM: 85%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 65% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 8:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · PSA 5325 · sold as American Eagle

    10:48 AM → 12:39 PM2h 51m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    66%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    69%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 69% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Limited track record · 32 flights

    Find 10:48 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines78%

    1,690 flights · 80% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)75%

    141 flights · 76% on time as flown · 2.7% cancel

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)73%

    231 flights · 77% on time as flown · 4.2% cancel

  • American Airlines72%

    41 flights · 73% on time as flown · 2.6% cancel

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)69%

    443 flights · 71% on time as flown · 3.7% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM85%

    662 flights · avg delay 12 min

  • 9 AM to noon77%

    306 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • Noon to 3 PM79%

    628 flights · avg delay 21 min

  • 3 to 6 PM70%

    378 flights · avg delay 23 min

  • 6 to 9 PM70%

    512 flights · avg delay 39 min

Best day: Saturday (86%). Worst: Thursday (78%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • IAD → MSP 84% chance on time

    Washington Dulles International Airport to Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field · 893 flights a year · 23 mi from your airports · yours: 76%

    Rank flightsFares

  • BWI → MSP 80% chance on time

    Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport to Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field · 1,402 flights a year · 30 mi from your airports · yours: 76%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
76
F
79
M
79
A
81
M
82
J
80
J
75
A
79
S
89
O
89
N
88
D
83

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)39%
  • Late-arriving aircraft38%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume18%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

DCA to MSP questions

What time of day is best to fly DCA to MSP?
Before 9 AM: 85% of flights arrived on time, against 70% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from DCA to MSP?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 78% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,690 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on DCA to MSP?
July (75% on time); the best was September (89%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from DCA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops