Route on-time record
BWI to PVD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Baltimore (Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport) to Providence/Warwick (Rhode Island T. F. Green International Airport). 1,882 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 78% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 1263 at 6:40 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
BWI → PVD
Baltimore to Providence/Warwick: 1,882 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
78%
Cancelled
2.0%
avg delay 14 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
96% on time vs 62% after 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Southwest
77% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Southwest 1263
6:40 AM → 8:00 AM1h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 2773; its record covers all of them.
93%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 95%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 2 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (87 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 87 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 96% on time; After 9 PM: 62%).
- Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 87 flights
Find Southwest 1263 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Southwest 2863
10:25 AM → 11:45 AM1h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 2863 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Southwest 1266
12:30 PM → 1:50 PM1h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29. Same departure also flew as Southwest 1372; its record covers all of them.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (39 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 39 flights
Find Southwest 1266 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Southwest 2223
1:50 PM → 3:05 PM1h 15m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-01.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 2223 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Southwest 3652
9:50 AM → 11:10 AM1h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-27.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 81%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (16 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (16 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 16 flights
Find Southwest 3652 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Southwest 653
11:00 AM → 12:20 PM1h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30. Same departure also flew as Southwest 2295; its record covers all of them.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 80%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 13 min
- Arrived on time 80% of the time (64 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 64 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 64 flights
Find Southwest 653 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Southwest 700
2:05 PM → 3:25 PM1h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside BWI's trouble window: 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 78% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 700 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Southwest 1696
7:45 PM → 9:05 PM1h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 6.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 24 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (14 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside BWI's trouble window: 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 80% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (14 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 14 flights
Find Southwest 1696 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · Southwest 1961
1:35 PM → 2:50 PM1h 15m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 54%
- Cancelled
- 13.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 17 min
- Arrived on time 54% of the time (13 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (13 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 13 flights
Find Southwest 1961 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · Southwest 3179
4:20 PM → 5:40 PM1h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-01.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 22 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside BWI's trouble window: 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 3179 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Southwest Airlines77%
1,882 flights · 78% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM96%
398 flights · avg delay 2 min
- 9 AM to noon86%
360 flights · avg delay 7 min
- Noon to 3 PM80%
229 flights · avg delay 10 min
- 3 to 6 PM70%
315 flights · avg delay 23 min
- 6 to 9 PM67%
280 flights · avg delay 21 min
- After 9 PM62%
300 flights · avg delay 24 min
Best day: Tuesday (80%). Worst: Sunday (67%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft49%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)33%
- Air traffic control and airport volume11%
- Severe weather7%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
BWI to PVD questions
- What time of day is best to fly BWI to PVD?
- Before 9 AM: 96% of flights arrived on time, against 62% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from BWI to PVD?
- Southwest, with a season-adjusted 77% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,882 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on BWI to PVD?
- July (57% on time); the best was February (85%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from BWI
- PVD to BWI (return)
- BWI to ATL 79%
- BWI to MCO 75%
- BWI to BOS 74%
- BWI to FLL 75%
- BWI to CLT 80%
- BWI to DEN 76%
- BWI to TPA 79%
- BWI to ORD 75%
- BWI to MIA 74%
- BWI to DTW 81%
- BWI to BNA 80%
- BWI to MDW 76%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops