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Route on-time record

DCA to BTV: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport) to Burlington (Patrick Leahy Burlington International Airport). 1,194 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 70% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was PSA 5576 at 2:54 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

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DCA → BTV

Washington to Burlington: 1,194 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

70%

Cancelled

3.5%

avg delay 26 min

Best time to leave

6 to 9 PM

87% on time vs 64% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

PSA

67% chance on time

Check DCA to BTV fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · PSA 5576 · sold as American Eagle

    2:54 PM → 4:40 PM1h 46m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    76%
    Cancelled
    0.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    19 min
    • Arrived on time 76% of the time (160 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 73% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 160 flights

    Find 2:54 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · PSA 5092 · sold as American Eagle

    9:59 AM → 11:39 AM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as PSA 5634; its record covers all of them.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    2.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    19 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (125 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 56% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 125 flights

    Find 9:59 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · American 1173

    10:05 PM → 11:41 PM1h 36m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 64% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 87%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 32 flights

    Find American 1173 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · PSA 5098 · sold as American Eagle

    3:00 PM → 4:48 PM1h 48m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    66%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    64%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 64% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 76% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 3:00 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · PSA 5674 · sold as American Eagle

    10:15 PM → 11:56 PM1h 41m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    65%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    9.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 64% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 87%).
    • Departs outside DCA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 90% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find 10:15 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)67%

    851 flights · 69% on time as flown · 3.4% cancel

  • American Airlines67%

    254 flights · 70% on time as flown · 3.0% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 9 AM to noon71%

    382 flights · avg delay 21 min

  • Noon to 3 PM71%

    400 flights · avg delay 22 min

  • 3 to 6 PM73%

    63 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • 6 to 9 PM87%

    52 flights · avg delay 23 min

  • After 9 PM64%

    296 flights · avg delay 43 min

Best day: Saturday (84%). Worst: Friday (72%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • IAD → BTV 79% chance on time

    Washington Dulles International Airport to Patrick Leahy Burlington International Airport · 595 flights a year · 23 mi from your airports · yours: 68%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
77
F
72
M
76
A
80
M
77
J
78
J
71
A
79
S
84
O
82
N
78
D
68

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft53%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)32%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume10%
  • Severe weather4%
  • Security1%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from DCA to BTV…

DCA to BTV questions

What time of day is best to fly DCA to BTV?
6 to 9 PM: 87% of flights arrived on time, against 64% for departures after 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from DCA to BTV?
PSA, with a season-adjusted 67% chance of operating and arriving on time over 851 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on DCA to BTV?
December (68% on time); the best was September (84%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from DCA

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Live status: FAA delays and ground stops