Route on-time record
BTV to DCA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Burlington (Patrick Leahy Burlington International Airport) to Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport). 1,193 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 66% arrived within 15 minutes and 4.7% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 1912 at 6:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
BTV → DCA
Burlington to Washington: 1,193 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
66%
Cancelled
4.7%
avg delay 43 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
80% on time vs 57% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
American
66% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · American 1912
6:00 AM → 7:40 AM1h 40m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 94%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 94% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 31 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 80% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 57%).
Limited track record · 31 flights
Find American 1912 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · PSA 5675 · sold as American Eagle
6:00 AM → 7:50 AM1h 50m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
70%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 78%
- Cancelled
- 10.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 80% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 57%).
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · PSA 5092 · sold as American Eagle
12:09 PM → 1:59 PM1h 50m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as PSA 5634; its record covers all of them.
60%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 65%
- Cancelled
- 5.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 36 min
- Arrived on time 65% of the time (95 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 5.0% of the time (5 of 101).
- Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Moderate track record · 95 flights
Find 12:09 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · PSA 5098 · sold as American Eagle
5:18 PM → 7:15 PM1h 57m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as PSA 5576; its record covers all of them.
55%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 61%
- Cancelled
- 5.4%
- Avg arrival delay
- 55 min
- Arrived on time 61% of the time (158 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 5.4% of the time (9 of 168).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 57% on time; Before 9 AM: 80%).
Moderate track record · 158 flights
Find 5:18 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- American Airlines66%
253 flights · 71% on time as flown · 3.7% cancel
- PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)60%
851 flights · 63% on time as flown · 4.9% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM80%
357 flights · avg delay 29 min
- Noon to 3 PM61%
490 flights · avg delay 48 min
- 3 to 6 PM57%
346 flights · avg delay 51 min
Best day: Saturday (77%). Worst: Friday (70%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
BTV → IAD 82% chance on time
Patrick Leahy Burlington International Airport to Washington Dulles International Airport · 408 flights a year · 23 mi from your airports · yours: 63%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft37%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)31%
- Air traffic control and airport volume16%
- Severe weather16%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
BTV to DCA questions
- What time of day is best to fly BTV to DCA?
- Before 9 AM: 80% of flights arrived on time, against 57% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from BTV to DCA?
- American, with a season-adjusted 66% chance of operating and arriving on time over 253 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on BTV to DCA?
- February (64% on time); the best was October (82%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from BTV
- DCA to BTV (return)
- BTV to ORD 64%
- BTV to PHL 77%
- BTV to EWR 79%
- BTV to CLT 78%
- BTV to IAD 85%
- BTV to ATL 84%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops