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Route on-time record

IAD to BTV: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Dulles (Washington Dulles International Airport) to Burlington (Patrick Leahy Burlington International Airport). 595 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 82% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 3494 at 8:20 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

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IAD → BTV

Dulles to Burlington: 595 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

82%

Cancelled

3.2%

avg delay 18 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

91% on time vs 66% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

81% chance on time

Check IAD to BTV fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Republic 3494 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    8:20 AM → 10:00 AM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    94%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    1 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (67 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 67 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 66%).
    • Departs outside IAD's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 75% of its 63 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 67 flights

    Find 8:20 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Republic 3505 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    8:40 AM → 10:24 AM1h 44m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 66%).
    • Departs outside IAD's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 75% of its 63 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find 8:40 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · United 1422

    10:15 PM → 11:51 PM1h 36m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside IAD's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 75% of its 63 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find United 1422 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)81%

    515 flights · 84% on time as flown · 3.4% cancel

  • United Airlines73%

    80 flights · 68% on time as flown · 2.5% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM91%

    321 flights · avg delay 5 min

  • Noon to 3 PM87%

    31 flights · avg delay 5 min

  • 3 to 6 PM66%

    107 flights · avg delay 35 min

  • After 9 PM71%

    136 flights · avg delay 41 min

Best day: Monday (88%). Worst: Saturday (81%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
78
F
83
M
88
A
96
M
87
J
74
J
81
A
86
S
88
O
91
N
94
D
83

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft32%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)30%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume20%
  • Severe weather18%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from IAD to BTV…

IAD to BTV questions

What time of day is best to fly IAD to BTV?
Before 9 AM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 66% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from IAD to BTV?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 81% chance of operating and arriving on time over 515 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on IAD to BTV?
June (74% on time); the best was April (96%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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Live status: FAA delays and ground stops