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Route on-time record

CVG to TPA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Cincinnati / Covington (Cincinnati Northern Kentucky International Airport) to Tampa (Tampa International Airport). 728 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 80% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Frontier 1668 at 5:15 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

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CVG → TPA

Cincinnati / Covington to Tampa: 728 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

80%

Cancelled

0.8%

avg delay 17 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

88% on time vs 58% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Frontier

79% chance on time

Check CVG to TPA fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $80 (Frontier 1668 on 2026-11-02). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Frontier 1668

    5:15 AM → 7:37 AM2h 16m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (249 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 58%).
    • 50% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Strong track record · 249 flights

    Find Frontier 1668 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 1679

    2:02 PM → 4:09 PM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    1.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (335 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Strong track record · 335 flights

    Find Delta 1679 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Frontier 1304

    9:29 PM → 11:42 PM2h 17m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    66%
    Cancelled
    1.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    34 min
    • Arrived on time 66% of the time (79 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • 76% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 79 flights

    Find Frontier 1304 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Frontier Airlines79%

    369 flights · 80% on time as flown · 0.6% cancel

  • Delta Air Lines79%

    359 flights · 79% on time as flown · 1.0% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM88%

    204 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 9 AM to noon77%

    39 flights · avg delay 34 min

  • Noon to 3 PM84%

    264 flights · avg delay 12 min

  • 3 to 6 PM71%

    140 flights · avg delay 23 min

  • 6 to 9 PM58%

    60 flights · avg delay 42 min

Best day: Tuesday (81%). Worst: Sunday (72%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
75
F
79
M
72
A
84
M
80
J
67
J
68
A
80
S
76
O
82
N
88
D
79

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft50%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)30%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume14%
  • Severe weather6%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from CVG to TPA…

CVG to TPA questions

What time of day is best to fly CVG to TPA?
Before 9 AM: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 58% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from CVG to TPA?
Frontier, with a season-adjusted 79% chance of operating and arriving on time over 369 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on CVG to TPA?
June (67% on time); the best was November (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from CVG

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops