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Route on-time record

CVG to MCO: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Cincinnati / Covington (Cincinnati Northern Kentucky International Airport) to Orlando (Orlando International Airport). 1,779 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 79% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 511 at 8:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

CVG → MCO

Cincinnati / Covington to Orlando: 1,779 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

79%

Cancelled

1.0%

avg delay 17 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

85% on time vs 72% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Frontier

79% chance on time

Check CVG to MCO fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $80 (Frontier 1750 on 2026-10-20). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 511

    8:00 AM → 10:07 AM2h 06m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (359 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 72%).

    Strong track record · 359 flights

    Find Delta 511 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 3787

    10:25 AM → 12:30 PM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (15 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 15 flights

    Find Southwest 3787 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Frontier 1714

    5:45 AM → 8:07 AM2h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    0.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (315 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 72%).

    Strong track record · 315 flights

    Find Frontier 1714 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Frontier 3624

    10:00 AM → 12:17 PM2h 14m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (45 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 45 scheduled flights.
    • 55% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (45 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 45 flights

    Find Frontier 3624 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Frontier 1750

    5:20 PM → 7:39 PM2h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    2.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (114 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).

    Moderate track record · 114 flights

    Find Frontier 1750 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 3948

    1:25 PM → 3:35 PM2h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    6.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (14 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 74% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (14 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 14 flights

    Find Southwest 3948 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Southwest 988

    5:05 PM → 7:15 PM2h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • 82% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 988 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Frontier 2548

    1:20 PM → 3:42 PM2h 17m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    74%
    Cancelled
    1.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    30 min
    • Arrived on time 74% of the time (159 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 59% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 159 flights

    Find Frontier 2548 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Frontier 1566

    8:42 AM → 10:58 AM2h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-30.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    74%
    Cancelled
    1.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    30 min
    • Arrived on time 74% of the time (178 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 72%).
    • 60% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 178 flights

    Find Frontier 1566 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Delta 2824

    3:55 PM → 6:15 PM2h 06m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    0.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (349 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 349 flights

    Find Delta 2824 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Frontier Airlines79%

    821 flights · 80% on time as flown · 1.2% cancel

  • Delta Air Lines77%

    722 flights · 78% on time as flown · 0.9% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines77%

    222 flights · 77% on time as flown · 0.9% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM85%

    702 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 9 AM to noon80%

    173 flights · avg delay 23 min

  • Noon to 3 PM72%

    212 flights · avg delay 24 min

  • 3 to 6 PM75%

    519 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • 6 to 9 PM72%

    125 flights · avg delay 33 min

Best day: Tuesday (85%). Worst: Sunday (73%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
78
F
84
M
75
A
84
M
81
J
70
J
65
A
73
S
86
O
87
N
83
D
77

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft44%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)27%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume22%
  • Severe weather6%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

CVG to MCO questions

What time of day is best to fly CVG to MCO?
Before 9 AM: 85% of flights arrived on time, against 72% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from CVG to MCO?
Frontier, with a season-adjusted 79% chance of operating and arriving on time over 821 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on CVG to MCO?
July (65% on time); the best was October (87%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from CVG

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops