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Route on-time record

MCO to CVG: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Orlando (Orlando International Airport) to Cincinnati / Covington (Cincinnati Northern Kentucky International Airport). 1,777 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 73% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Frontier 1565 at 10:40 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MCO → CVG

Orlando to Cincinnati / Covington: 1,777 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

73%

Cancelled

1.2%

avg delay 22 min

Best time to leave

Noon to 3 PM

83% on time vs 58% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

75% chance on time

Check MCO to CVG fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $119 (Frontier 2547 on 2026-10-26). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Frontier 1565

    10:40 AM → 1:02 PM2h 23m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (114 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 114 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 50% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 114 flights

    Find Frontier 1565 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Frontier 1713

    1:27 PM → 3:52 PM2h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    81%
    Cancelled
    1.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 81% of the time (310 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 83% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 58%).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 54% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Strong track record · 310 flights

    Find Frontier 1713 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · Southwest 208

    12:50 PM → 3:05 PM2h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (7 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 83% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 58%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (7 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 7 flights

    Find Southwest 208 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · Delta 511

    11:02 AM → 1:18 PM2h 16m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    0.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (358 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 358 flights

    Find Delta 511 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  5. #5 · Frontier 1749

    4:52 PM → 7:19 PM2h 27m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-16.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    69%
    Cancelled
    1.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    26 min
    • Arrived on time 69% of the time (179 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 58% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 83%).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 53% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 179 flights

    Find Frontier 1749 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  6. #6 · Frontier 2547

    10:20 PM → 12:41 AM2h 21m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    65%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    66%
    Cancelled
    2.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    30 min
    • Arrived on time 66% of the time (198 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 62% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 198 flights

    Find Frontier 2547 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  7. #7 · Delta 2824

    7:20 PM → 9:36 PM2h 14m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    64%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    63%
    Cancelled
    1.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    32 min
    • Arrived on time 63% of the time (353 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 353 flights

    Find Delta 2824 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  8. #8 · Southwest 1454

    4:00 PM → 6:15 PM2h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    64%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    63%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 63% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 30 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 58% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 83%).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 30 flights

    Find Southwest 1454 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  9. #9 · Southwest 1751

    4:10 PM → 6:35 PM2h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    62%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    45%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    60 min
    • Arrived on time 45% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 58% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 83%).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find Southwest 1751 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines75%

    222 flights · 76% on time as flown · 1.3% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines74%

    819 flights · 75% on time as flown · 1.3% cancel

  • Delta Air Lines70%

    722 flights · 71% on time as flown · 1.0% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM81%

    211 flights · avg delay 12 min

  • 9 AM to noon82%

    521 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • Noon to 3 PM83%

    170 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 3 to 6 PM58%

    245 flights · avg delay 35 min

  • 6 to 9 PM68%

    439 flights · avg delay 28 min

  • After 9 PM65%

    191 flights · avg delay 30 min

Best day: Wednesday (82%). Worst: Sunday (67%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
78
F
77
M
69
A
80
M
72
J
63
J
57
A
68
S
83
O
83
N
79
D
80

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft52%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)27%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume17%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from MCO to CVG…

MCO to CVG questions

What time of day is best to fly MCO to CVG?
Noon to 3 PM: 83% of flights arrived on time, against 58% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
Which airline is most on time from MCO to CVG?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 75% chance of operating and arriving on time over 222 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MCO to CVG?
July (57% on time); the best was September (83%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MCO

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops