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Route on-time record

BWI to SRQ: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Baltimore (Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport) to Sarasota/Bradenton (Sarasota Bradenton International Airport). 1,298 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 79% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.4% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 3116 at 8:15 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

BWI → SRQ

Baltimore to Sarasota/Bradenton: 1,298 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

79%

Cancelled

1.4%

avg delay 14 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

91% on time vs 65% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

78% chance on time

Check BWI to SRQ fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 3116

    8:15 AM → 11:00 AM2h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 3282; its record covers all of them.

    90%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    1.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (87 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 65%).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 87 flights

    Find Southwest 3116 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 2334

    10:00 AM → 12:40 PM2h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    95%
    Cancelled
    4.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 95% of the time (22 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (22 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 22 flights

    Find Southwest 2334 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 1654

    1:20 PM → 3:55 PM2h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 47 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (47 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 47 flights

    Find Southwest 1654 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Southwest 1332

    7:35 PM → 10:15 PM2h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 596; its record covers all of them.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (68 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 68 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside BWI's trouble window: 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Moderate track record · 68 flights

    Find Southwest 1332 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Southwest 1778

    4:05 PM → 6:45 PM2h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    74%
    Cancelled
    3.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 74% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.0% of the time (1 of 33).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 65% on time; Before 9 AM: 91%).
    • Departs inside BWI's trouble window: 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Limited track record · 31 flights

    Find Southwest 1778 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 675

    2:25 PM → 5:00 PM2h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    61%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 61% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside BWI's trouble window: 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (28 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 28 flights

    Find Southwest 675 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Southwest 1780

    8:50 PM → 11:30 PM2h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-03.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    62%
    Cancelled
    7.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    47 min
    • Arrived on time 62% of the time (13 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 89% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (13 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 13 flights

    Find Southwest 1780 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Southwest 2458

    3:35 PM → 6:10 PM2h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (54 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 54 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 65% on time; Before 9 AM: 91%).
    • Departs inside BWI's trouble window: 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Limited track record · 54 flights

    Find Southwest 2458 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines78%

    1,298 flights · 79% on time as flown · 1.4% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM91%

    362 flights · avg delay 5 min

  • 9 AM to noon88%

    53 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • Noon to 3 PM81%

    311 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 3 to 6 PM65%

    185 flights · avg delay 23 min

  • 6 to 9 PM72%

    382 flights · avg delay 22 min

Best day: Wednesday (80%). Worst: Sunday (70%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
77
F
81
M
78
A
80
M
76
J
70
J
64
A
70
S
83
O
81
N
87
D
70

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft43%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)31%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume21%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

BWI to SRQ questions

What time of day is best to fly BWI to SRQ?
Before 9 AM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 65% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from BWI to SRQ?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 78% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,298 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on BWI to SRQ?
July (64% on time); the best was November (87%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from BWI

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops