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Route on-time record

BWI to MCO: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Baltimore (Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport) to Orlando (Orlando International Airport). 4,747 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 3235 at 7:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

BWI → MCO

Baltimore to Orlando: 4,747 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

75%

Cancelled

2.2%

avg delay 19 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

89% on time vs 63% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

75% chance on time

Check BWI to MCO fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $49 (Frontier 3663 on 2026-11-04). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 3235

    7:00 AM → 9:25 AM2h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 33 flights

    Find Southwest 3235 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 1638

    8:15 AM → 10:45 AM2h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 3330; its record covers all of them.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (64 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 64 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 64 flights

    Find Southwest 1638 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 1561

    7:10 AM → 9:30 AM2h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 47 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 47 flights

    Find Southwest 1561 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Southwest 3293

    6:25 AM → 8:45 AM2h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (51 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 51 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 51 flights

    Find Southwest 3293 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Southwest 581

    10:00 AM → 12:25 PM2h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (54 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 54 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (54 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 54 flights

    Find Southwest 581 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 1185

    9:05 AM → 11:40 AM2h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (55 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 1185 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Southwest 1187

    1:20 PM → 3:45 PM2h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 39 flights

    Find Southwest 1187 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Southwest 2783

    9:20 AM → 11:50 AM2h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    81%
    Cancelled
    3.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 81% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.0% of the time (1 of 33).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 32 flights

    Find Southwest 2783 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Southwest 1250

    11:15 AM → 1:40 PM2h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-01.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 1250 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Southwest 2529

    11:30 AM → 1:50 PM2h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-27. Same departure also flew as Southwest 1251; its record covers all of them.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    2.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (40 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside BWI's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 81% of its 43 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (40 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 40 flights

    Find Southwest 2529 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines75%

    3,570 flights · 77% on time as flown · 2.1% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines72%

    521 flights · 74% on time as flown · 2.4% cancel

  • Spirit Airlines69%

    656 flights · 69% on time as flown · 2.6% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM89%

    947 flights · avg delay 7 min

  • 9 AM to noon81%

    1,157 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • Noon to 3 PM75%

    677 flights · avg delay 22 min

  • 3 to 6 PM68%

    939 flights · avg delay 25 min

  • 6 to 9 PM63%

    824 flights · avg delay 27 min

  • After 9 PM65%

    203 flights · avg delay 25 min

Best day: Tuesday (81%). Worst: Sunday (70%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • IAD → MCO 80% chance on time

    Washington Dulles International Airport to Orlando International Airport · 2,204 flights a year · 45 mi from your airports · yours: 74%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
77
F
80
M
72
A
80
M
75
J
66
J
59
A
66
S
81
O
83
N
84
D
75

What delays this route

  • Air traffic control and airport volume37%
  • Late-arriving aircraft30%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)28%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

BWI to MCO questions

What time of day is best to fly BWI to MCO?
Before 9 AM: 89% of flights arrived on time, against 63% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from BWI to MCO?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 75% chance of operating and arriving on time over 3,570 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on BWI to MCO?
July (59% on time); the best was November (84%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from BWI

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops