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Route on-time record

BNA to PHX: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Nashville (Nashville International Airport) to Phoenix (Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport). 2,364 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 79% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.9% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 3919 at 5:35 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

BNA → PHX

Nashville to Phoenix: 2,364 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

79%

Cancelled

0.9%

avg delay 15 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

92% on time vs 63% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

American

78% chance on time

Check BNA to PHX fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 3919

    5:35 AM → 7:30 AM3h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 3470; its record covers all of them.

    94%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    95%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 95% of the time (88 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 88 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 88 flights

    Find Southwest 3919 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · American 1475

    7:22 AM → 9:24 AM4h 02m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    23 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (48 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 48 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 48 flights

    Find American 1475 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · American 3212

    7:29 AM → 9:38 AM4h 09m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    2.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    26 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (151 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 151 flights

    Find American 3212 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Southwest 2226

    7:35 AM → 9:35 AM3h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    81%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 81% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 47 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 47 flights

    Find Southwest 2226 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Southwest 480

    11:05 AM → 1:05 PM4h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find Southwest 480 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 747

    11:20 AM → 1:15 PM3h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (22 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (22 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 22 flights

    Find Southwest 747 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Southwest 2327

    12:30 PM → 2:30 PM4h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • 85% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 28 flights

    Find Southwest 2327 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · American 3086

    5:42 PM → 7:47 PM4h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 1857; its record covers all of them.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    76%
    Cancelled
    0.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    24 min
    • Arrived on time 76% of the time (220 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • 56% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Strong track record · 220 flights

    Find American 3086 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Southwest 4073

    5:25 PM → 7:20 PM3h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 1877; its record covers all of them.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 47 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Limited track record · 47 flights

    Find Southwest 4073 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Southwest 2100

    2:45 PM → 4:40 PM3h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 2100 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • American Airlines78%

    545 flights · 79% on time as flown · 1.1% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines78%

    1,815 flights · 79% on time as flown · 0.9% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM92%

    932 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 9 AM to noon85%

    151 flights · avg delay 9 min

  • Noon to 3 PM73%

    370 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 3 to 6 PM69%

    454 flights · avg delay 20 min

  • 6 to 9 PM63%

    325 flights · avg delay 22 min

  • After 9 PM66%

    132 flights · avg delay 19 min

Best day: Tuesday (83%). Worst: Thursday (77%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
86
F
84
M
83
A
77
M
70
J
68
J
71
A
84
S
83
O
81
N
83
D
86

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft53%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)37%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume8%
  • Severe weather1%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

BNA to PHX questions

What time of day is best to fly BNA to PHX?
Before 9 AM: 92% of flights arrived on time, against 63% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from BNA to PHX?
American, with a season-adjusted 78% chance of operating and arriving on time over 545 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on BNA to PHX?
June (68% on time); the best was December (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from BNA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops