Route on-time record
PHX to BNA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Phoenix (Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport) to Nashville (Nashville International Airport). 2,367 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 3510 at 5:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
PHX → BNA
Phoenix to Nashville: 2,367 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
75%
Cancelled
0.6%
avg delay 14 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
90% on time vs 62% noon to 3 PM
Most reliable airline
Southwest
75% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $200 (American 1545 on 2026-11-21). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Southwest 3510
5:00 AM → 10:15 AM3h 15m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
92%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 94%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 94% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 47 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 62%).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 47 flights
Find Southwest 3510 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Southwest 893
5:10 AM → 10:20 AM3h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 76%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 76% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 62%).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 33 flights
Find Southwest 893 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Southwest 1155
7:45 AM → 1:05 PM3h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 62%).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 33 flights
Find Southwest 1155 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Southwest 3372
8:05 AM → 1:30 PM3h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 81%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (54 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 54 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 62%).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 54 flights
Find Southwest 3372 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · American 3073
8:35 AM → 2:11 PM3h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 62%).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find American 3073 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Southwest 3754
11:55 PM → 5:00 AM3h 05m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 4188; its record covers all of them.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (71 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 71 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 71 flights
Find Southwest 3754 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Southwest 786
11:15 AM → 4:25 PM3h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 73%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 73% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (15 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 15 flights
Find Southwest 786 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Southwest 933
12:25 PM → 5:35 PM3h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 63%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 63% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 62% on time; Before 9 AM: 90%).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 933 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · American 1370
4:03 PM → 9:26 PM3h 23m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 1545; its record covers all of them.
70%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 72%
- Cancelled
- 1.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 20 min
- Arrived on time 72% of the time (301 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 65% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Strong track record · 301 flights
Find American 1370 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · Southwest 3753
6:40 PM → 11:50 PM3h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
69%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 62%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 21 min
- Arrived on time 62% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (55 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 55 flights
Find Southwest 3753 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Southwest Airlines75%
1,818 flights · 76% on time as flown · 0.5% cancel
- American Airlines72%
545 flights · 72% on time as flown · 1.0% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM90%
676 flights · avg delay 5 min
- 9 AM to noon76%
486 flights · avg delay 13 min
- Noon to 3 PM62%
315 flights · avg delay 21 min
- 3 to 6 PM66%
579 flights · avg delay 22 min
- 6 to 9 PM69%
233 flights · avg delay 19 min
- After 9 PM77%
78 flights · avg delay 9 min
Best day: Saturday (82%). Worst: Thursday (75%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft51%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)34%
- Air traffic control and airport volume15%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
PHX to BNA questions
- What time of day is best to fly PHX to BNA?
- Before 9 AM: 90% of flights arrived on time, against 62% for departures noon to 3 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from PHX to BNA?
- Southwest, with a season-adjusted 75% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,818 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on PHX to BNA?
- May (72% on time); the best was September (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from PHX
- BNA to PHX (return)
- PHX to DEN 77%
- PHX to LAX 83%
- PHX to SEA 83%
- PHX to LAS 79%
- PHX to SAN 74%
- PHX to SLC 83%
- PHX to ORD 77%
- PHX to DFW 80%
- PHX to SFO 71%
- PHX to SNA 80%
- PHX to ATL 82%
- PHX to PDX 79%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops