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Route on-time record

BNA to JAX: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Nashville (Nashville International Airport) to Jacksonville (Jacksonville International Airport). 1,115 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 76% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 933 at 7:15 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

BNA → JAX

Nashville to Jacksonville: 1,115 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

76%

Cancelled

0.6%

avg delay 13 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

92% on time vs 63% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

76% chance on time

Check BNA to JAX fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 933

    7:15 AM → 9:50 AM1h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; After 9 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 33 flights

    Find Southwest 933 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 3723

    7:30 AM → 10:05 AM1h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; After 9 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 3723 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 656

    12:10 PM → 2:45 PM1h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 656 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Southwest 3235

    6:55 PM → 9:30 PM1h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    69%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 69% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 65% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 32 flights

    Find Southwest 3235 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Southwest 1373

    9:35 PM → 12:05 AM1h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    68%
    Cancelled
    6.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    23 min
    • Arrived on time 68% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 6.1% of the time (2 of 33).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 63% on time; Before 9 AM: 92%).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 31 flights

    Find Southwest 1373 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 934

    12:55 PM → 3:30 PM1h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    70%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    57%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    19 min
    • Arrived on time 57% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 934 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Southwest 936

    4:25 PM → 6:55 PM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    70%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    64%
    Cancelled
    6.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 64% of the time (14 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 76% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (14 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 14 flights

    Find Southwest 936 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Southwest 1283

    8:20 PM → 10:55 PM1h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    65%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    57%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    32 min
    • Arrived on time 57% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside BNA's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 86% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 1283 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Southwest 3130

    2:50 PM → 5:20 PM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    58%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    44%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    21 min
    • Arrived on time 44% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 53% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 3130 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines76%

    1,094 flights · 76% on time as flown · 0.6% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM92%

    185 flights · avg delay 5 min

  • 9 AM to noon90%

    203 flights · avg delay 4 min

  • Noon to 3 PM69%

    131 flights · avg delay 17 min

  • 3 to 6 PM69%

    283 flights · avg delay 17 min

  • 6 to 9 PM69%

    272 flights · avg delay 17 min

  • After 9 PM63%

    41 flights · avg delay 29 min

Best day: Tuesday (84%). Worst: Sunday (74%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
84
F
83
M
73
A
80
M
72
J
74
J
68
A
83
S
86
O
85
N
84
D
75

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft64%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)24%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume11%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from BNA to JAX…

BNA to JAX questions

What time of day is best to fly BNA to JAX?
Before 9 AM: 92% of flights arrived on time, against 63% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from BNA to JAX?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,094 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on BNA to JAX?
July (68% on time); the best was September (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from BNA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops