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Route on-time record

JAX to BNA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Jacksonville (Jacksonville International Airport) to Nashville (Nashville International Airport). 1,115 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 83% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.9% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 2507 at 6:05 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

JAX → BNA

Jacksonville to Nashville: 1,115 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

83%

Cancelled

0.9%

avg delay 11 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

96% on time vs 56% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

82% chance on time

Check JAX to BNA fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 2507

    6:05 AM → 6:45 AM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 3024; its record covers all of them.

    93%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    1.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (67 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 96% on time; After 9 PM: 56%).

    Moderate track record · 67 flights

    Find Southwest 2507 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 2224

    5:50 AM → 6:30 AM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    96%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 96% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 96% on time; After 9 PM: 56%).
    • Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 25 flights

    Find Southwest 2224 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 2508

    10:45 AM → 11:25 AM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
    • Short track record (39 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 39 flights

    Find Southwest 2508 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Southwest 3562

    11:10 AM → 11:50 AM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • 66% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (15 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 15 flights

    Find Southwest 3562 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Southwest 2510

    7:10 PM → 7:50 PM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    71%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 71% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • 59% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (55 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 2510 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 2509

    3:25 PM → 4:05 PM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    64%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 64% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
    • Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (39 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 39 flights

    Find Southwest 2509 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Southwest 977

    8:50 PM → 9:30 PM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    58%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    38 min
    • Arrived on time 58% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
    • 79% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (33 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 33 flights

    Find Southwest 977 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Southwest 3426

    4:10 PM → 4:50 PM1h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    43%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    23 min
    • Arrived on time 43% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 54% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 3426 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines82%

    1,094 flights · 82% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM96%

    364 flights · avg delay 2 min

  • 9 AM to noon86%

    186 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • Noon to 3 PM78%

    126 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • 3 to 6 PM59%

    82 flights · avg delay 22 min

  • 6 to 9 PM77%

    299 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • After 9 PM56%

    58 flights · avg delay 27 min

Best day: Tuesday (88%). Worst: Sunday (81%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
89
F
90
M
81
A
82
M
80
J
77
J
77
A
86
S
92
O
87
N
89
D
84

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft64%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)19%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume15%
  • Severe weather2%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

JAX to BNA questions

What time of day is best to fly JAX to BNA?
Before 9 AM: 96% of flights arrived on time, against 56% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from JAX to BNA?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 82% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,094 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on JAX to BNA?
July (77% on time); the best was September (92%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from JAX

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops