Route on-time record
ECP to ORD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Panama City Beach (Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport) to Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport). 534 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 78% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.7% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Envoy 3947 at 1:08 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
ECP → ORD
Panama City Beach to Chicago: 534 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
78%
Cancelled
1.7%
avg delay 20 min
Best time to leave
3 to 6 PM
87% on time vs 76% noon to 3 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
81% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Envoy 3947 · sold as American Eagle
1:08 PM → 3:57 PM2h 49m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 4.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (70 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.1% of the time (3 of 74).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 76% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 87%).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Moderate track record · 70 flights
Find 1:08 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Republic 4534 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
3:14 PM → 6:14 PM3h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 89%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 87% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 76%).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find 3:14 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Envoy 3677 · sold as American Eagle
3:00 PM → 5:45 PM2h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 86%
- Cancelled
- 5.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 86% of the time (51 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 5.6% of the time (3 of 54).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 87% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 76%).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Limited track record · 51 flights
Find 3:00 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Republic 3683 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
10:19 AM → 1:05 PM2h 46m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-29.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 84%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 13 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
- Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 32 flights
Find 10:19 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Republic 3579 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
10:30 AM → 1:13 PM2h 43m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-18.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 80%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 23 min
- Arrived on time 80% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (15 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 15 flights
Find 10:30 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Southwest 3056
10:45 AM → 1:20 PM2h 35m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 63%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 24 min
- Arrived on time 63% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the route's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 3056 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · SkyWest 5874 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
10:25 AM → 1:09 PM2h 44m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 5236; its record covers all of them.
73%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 76%
- Cancelled
- 2.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 29 min
- Arrived on time 76% of the time (34 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- 65% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (34 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 34 flights
Find 10:25 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · United 1193
2:10 PM → 4:50 PM2h 40m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.
68%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 34 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 76% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 87%).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 20 flights
Find United 1193 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · United 1027
2:19 PM → 4:56 PM2h 37m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
62%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 62%
- Cancelled
- 1.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 26 min
- Arrived on time 62% of the time (50 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 76% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 87%).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 51% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 50 flights
Find United 1027 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · SkyWest 5316 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
2:05 PM → 4:50 PM2h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
60%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 44%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 35 min
- Arrived on time 44% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 76% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 87%).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find 2:05 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)81%
182 flights · 83% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel
- Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)79%
157 flights · 83% on time as flown · 3.1% cancel
- United Airlines72%
104 flights · 70% on time as flown · 1.4% cancel
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)71%
83 flights · 65% on time as flown · 1.5% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- 9 AM to noon78%
97 flights · avg delay 22 min
- Noon to 3 PM76%
365 flights · avg delay 20 min
- 3 to 6 PM87%
71 flights · avg delay 12 min
Best day: Wednesday (83%). Worst: Friday (72%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft45%
- Air traffic control and airport volume30%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)16%
- Severe weather9%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
ECP to ORD questions
- What time of day is best to fly ECP to ORD?
- 3 to 6 PM: 87% of flights arrived on time, against 76% for departures noon to 3 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from ECP to ORD?
- Republic, with a season-adjusted 81% chance of operating and arriving on time over 182 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on ECP to ORD?
- July (66% on time); the best was September (89%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from ECP
- ORD to ECP (return)
- ECP to ATL 85%
- ECP to DFW 76%
- ECP to CLT 86%
- ECP to BNA 82%
- ECP to DAL 82%
- ECP to AUS 76%
- ECP to DCA 72%
- ECP to HOU 82%
- ECP to STL 78%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops