Route on-time record
SRQ to ORD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Sarasota/Bradenton (Sarasota Bradenton International Airport) to Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport). 1,002 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 68% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was United 1236 at 9:05 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
SRQ → ORD
Sarasota/Bradenton to Chicago: 1,002 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
68%
Cancelled
1.8%
avg delay 25 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
91% on time vs 58% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Envoy
70% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · United 1236
9:05 AM → 11:21 AM3h 16m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 95%
- Cancelled
- 4.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 20 flights
Find United 1236 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · United 622
7:15 AM → 9:34 AM3h 19m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 96%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 96% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 58%).
- Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 24 flights
Find United 622 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · United 704
9:20 AM → 11:33 AM3h 13m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-29.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 6.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 6.3% of the time (2 of 32).
- Short track record (30 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 30 flights
Find United 704 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · American 2058
8:46 AM → 10:55 AM3h 09m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 4.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 16 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (42 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.5% of the time (2 of 44).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 58%).
- Short track record (42 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 42 flights
Find American 2058 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · United 2179
12:23 PM → 2:42 PM3h 19m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.
70%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 68%
- Cancelled
- 8.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 42 min
- Arrived on time 68% of the time (22 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (22 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 22 flights
Find United 2179 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · United 1400
4:20 PM → 6:36 PM3h 16m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as United 396; its record covers all of them.
63%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 66%
- Cancelled
- 0.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 29 min
- Arrived on time 66% of the time (116 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 58% on time; Before 9 AM: 91%).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Moderate track record · 116 flights
Find United 1400 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · United 1592
4:28 PM → 6:48 PM3h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.
62%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 59%
- Cancelled
- 4.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 42 min
- Arrived on time 59% of the time (22 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 58% on time; Before 9 AM: 91%).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (22 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 22 flights
Find United 1592 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · American 2939
12:47 PM → 2:57 PM3h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as American 2004; its record covers all of them.
59%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 57%
- Cancelled
- 1.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 31 min
- Arrived on time 57% of the time (63 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Moderate track record · 63 flights
Find American 2939 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · American 478
5:45 PM → 8:00 PM3h 15m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
46%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 35%
- Cancelled
- 10.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 45 min
- Arrived on time 35% of the time (26 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 10.0% of the time (3 of 30).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 58% on time; Before 9 AM: 91%).
- 58% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 26 flights
Find American 478 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)70%
121 flights · 73% on time as flown · 1.0% cancel
- United Airlines69%
617 flights · 71% on time as flown · 1.7% cancel
- American Airlines62%
217 flights · 63% on time as flown · 2.9% cancel
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)59%
42 flights · 48% on time as flown · 1.4% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM91%
77 flights · avg delay 10 min
- 9 AM to noon87%
153 flights · avg delay 9 min
- Noon to 3 PM70%
281 flights · avg delay 24 min
- 3 to 6 PM58%
461 flights · avg delay 34 min
Best day: Tuesday (77%). Worst: Sunday (68%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
TPA → MDW 74% chance on time
Tampa International Airport to Chicago Midway International Airport · 1,630 flights a year · 55 mi from your airports · yours: 67%
SRQ → MDW 72% chance on time
Sarasota Bradenton International Airport to Chicago Midway International Airport · 518 flights a year · 15 mi from your airports · yours: 67%
TPA → ORD 71% chance on time
Tampa International Airport to Chicago O'Hare International Airport · 3,257 flights a year · 40 mi from your airports · yours: 67%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Air traffic control and airport volume40%
- Late-arriving aircraft37%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)19%
- Severe weather4%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
SRQ to ORD questions
- What time of day is best to fly SRQ to ORD?
- Before 9 AM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 58% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from SRQ to ORD?
- Envoy, with a season-adjusted 70% chance of operating and arriving on time over 121 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on SRQ to ORD?
- July (54% on time); the best was October (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from SRQ
- ORD to SRQ (return)
- SRQ to ATL 88%
- SRQ to CLT 85%
- SRQ to BWI 83%
- SRQ to EWR 87%
- SRQ to BOS 69%
- SRQ to BNA 82%
- SRQ to LGA 74%
- SRQ to MCO 87%
- SRQ to JFK 72%
- SRQ to MDW 73%
- SRQ to PHL 79%
- SRQ to DCA 75%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops