Route on-time record
SNA to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Santa Ana (John Wayne Orange County International Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 585 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 81% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.7% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2185 at 8:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
SNA → MSP
Santa Ana to Minneapolis: 585 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
81%
Cancelled
1.7%
avg delay 15 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
86% on time vs 67% 9 AM to noon
Most reliable airline
Delta
80% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 2185
8:00 AM → 1:36 PM3h 39m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 84%
- Cancelled
- 2.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (353 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 86% on time; 9 AM to noon: 67%).
- Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Strong track record · 353 flights
Find Delta 2185 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Delta 2061
12:45 PM → 6:27 PM3h 42m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 93%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 2 min
- Arrived on time 93% of the time (14 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
Limited track record · 14 flights
Find Delta 2061 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Delta Air Lines80%
585 flights · 81% on time as flown · 1.7% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM86%
317 flights · avg delay 13 min
- 9 AM to noon67%
46 flights · avg delay 23 min
- Noon to 3 PM77%
222 flights · avg delay 16 min
Best day: Wednesday (88%). Worst: Sunday (73%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
LAX → MSP 85% chance on time
Los Angeles International Airport to Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field · 2,177 flights a year · 36 mi from your airports · yours: 80%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)50%
- Late-arriving aircraft34%
- Air traffic control and airport volume16%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
SNA to MSP questions
- What time of day is best to fly SNA to MSP?
- Before 9 AM: 86% of flights arrived on time, against 67% for departures 9 AM to noon. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from SNA to MSP?
- Delta, with a season-adjusted 80% chance of operating and arriving on time over 585 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on SNA to MSP?
- August (79% on time); the best was September (89%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from SNA
- MSP to SNA (return)
- SNA to SFO 74%
- SNA to PHX 82%
- SNA to LAS 83%
- SNA to SEA 85%
- SNA to DEN 82%
- SNA to DFW 79%
- SNA to SJC 87%
- SNA to OAK 85%
- SNA to SMF 85%
- SNA to ORD 77%
- SNA to SLC 87%
- SNA to PDX 93%
Most on-time flights from SNA on every route →
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops