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Route on-time record

PHX to SNA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Phoenix (Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport) to Santa Ana (John Wayne Orange County International Airport). 4,578 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 80% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 3898 at 7:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

PHX → SNA

Phoenix to Santa Ana: 4,578 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

80%

Cancelled

0.5%

avg delay 12 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

91% on time vs 73% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Frontier

84% chance on time

Check PHX to SNA fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 3898

    7:00 AM → 8:20 AM1h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 2566; its record covers all of them.

    94%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    99%
    Cancelled
    2.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    0 min
    • Arrived on time 99% of the time (73 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 73%).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 73 flights

    Find Southwest 3898 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 2013

    8:05 AM → 9:40 AM1h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30. Same departure also flew as Southwest 3899, 643; its record covers all of them.

    93%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    97%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 97% of the time (59 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 59 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 73%).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 59 flights

    Find Southwest 2013 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · American 2660

    7:32 AM → 8:55 AM1h 23m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 1562; its record covers all of them.

    92%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    95%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 95% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 73%).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find American 2660 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Frontier 1719

    7:25 AM → 8:50 AM1h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-18.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (77 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 77 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 73%).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 77 flights

    Find Frontier 1719 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Southwest 2859

    8:55 PM → 10:25 PM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (33 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 33 flights

    Find Southwest 2859 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · American 2911

    10:04 AM → 11:37 AM1h 33m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as American 456; its record covers all of them.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (74 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 74 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 54% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 74 flights

    Find American 2911 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Southwest 3496

    9:55 AM → 11:25 AM1h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find Southwest 3496 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Southwest 2747

    10:10 AM → 11:35 AM1h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    19 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 89% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 2747 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Frontier 4957

    2:15 PM → 3:35 PM1h 26m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    2.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (73 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Moderate track record · 73 flights

    Find Frontier 4957 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · American 2655

    10:14 AM → 11:43 AM1h 29m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find American 2655 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Frontier Airlines84%

    289 flights · 86% on time as flown · 1.1% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines80%

    2,425 flights · 80% on time as flown · 0.4% cancel

  • American Airlines79%

    1,864 flights · 79% on time as flown · 0.4% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM91%

    881 flights · avg delay 4 min

  • 9 AM to noon83%

    900 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • Noon to 3 PM76%

    879 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • 3 to 6 PM73%

    823 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 6 to 9 PM76%

    932 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • After 9 PM79%

    163 flights · avg delay 7 min

Best day: Saturday (86%). Worst: Sunday (78%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • PHX → CLD 84% chance on time

    Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport to McClellan-Palomar Airport · 748 flights a year · 51 mi from your airports · yours: 79%

    Rank flightsFares

  • PHX → LAX 83% chance on time

    Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport to Los Angeles International Airport · 7,608 flights a year · 36 mi from your airports · yours: 79%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
84
F
85
M
83
A
83
M
80
J
80
J
78
A
81
S
84
O
84
N
84
D
83

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft51%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)37%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume10%
  • Severe weather2%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

PHX to SNA questions

What time of day is best to fly PHX to SNA?
Before 9 AM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 73% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from PHX to SNA?
Frontier, with a season-adjusted 84% chance of operating and arriving on time over 289 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on PHX to SNA?
July (78% on time); the best was February (85%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from PHX

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops