Route on-time record
PHX to PAE: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Phoenix (Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport) to Everett (Seattle Paine Field International Airport). 635 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 86% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.1% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Alaska 731 at 2:19 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
PHX → PAE
Phoenix to Everett: 635 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
86%
Cancelled
1.1%
avg delay 9 min
Best time to leave
6 to 9 PM
93% on time vs 63% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Alaska
87% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Alaska 731
2:19 PM → 5:31 PM3h 12m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
88%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 89%
- Cancelled
- 0.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (247 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Strong track record · 247 flights
Find Alaska 731 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Alaska 514
8:46 PM → 11:59 PM3h 13m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-12.
87%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 0.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (196 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 93% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 63%).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 196 flights
Find Alaska 514 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Alaska Airlines87%
585 flights · 88% on time as flown · 1.2% cancel
- Frontier Airlines77%
50 flights · 65% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM87%
40 flights · avg delay 7 min
- 9 AM to noon91%
134 flights · avg delay 8 min
- Noon to 3 PM88%
252 flights · avg delay 5 min
- 3 to 6 PM63%
46 flights · avg delay 41 min
- 6 to 9 PM93%
77 flights · avg delay 3 min
- After 9 PM81%
86 flights · avg delay 13 min
Best day: Saturday (90%). Worst: Monday (84%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft47%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)40%
- Air traffic control and airport volume10%
- Severe weather3%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
PHX to PAE questions
- What time of day is best to fly PHX to PAE?
- 6 to 9 PM: 93% of flights arrived on time, against 63% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from PHX to PAE?
- Alaska, with a season-adjusted 87% chance of operating and arriving on time over 585 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on PHX to PAE?
- November (79% on time); the best was October (91%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from PHX
- PAE to PHX (return)
- PHX to DEN 77%
- PHX to LAX 83%
- PHX to SEA 83%
- PHX to LAS 79%
- PHX to SAN 74%
- PHX to SLC 83%
- PHX to ORD 77%
- PHX to DFW 80%
- PHX to SFO 71%
- PHX to SNA 80%
- PHX to ATL 82%
- PHX to PDX 79%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops