Route on-time record

PHX to MCO: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Phoenix (Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport) to Orlando (Orlando International Airport). 1,836 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.7% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 1187 at 10:15 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

PHX → MCO

Phoenix to Orlando: 1,836 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

75%

Cancelled

0.7%

avg delay 14 min

Best time to leave

After 9 PM

80% on time vs 53% noon to 3 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

76% chance on time

Check PHX to MCO fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

#1 · American 1187
10:15 PM → 5:16 AM4h 01m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
87%
chance on time
On time (history)
95%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
2 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (37 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 37 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (After 9 PM: 80% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 53%).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 45% of its 47 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 37 flights
Find American 1187 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#2 · American 563
9:53 PM → 5:00 AM4h 07m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
80%
chance on time
On time (history)
82%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
8 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (84 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 84 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (After 9 PM: 80% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 53%).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 45% of its 47 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 84 flights
Find American 563 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#3 · Southwest 1482
11:55 PM → 6:50 AM3h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
78%
chance on time
On time (history)
76%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
11 min
- Arrived on time 76% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (After 9 PM: 80% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 53%).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 45% of its 47 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 55 flights
Find Southwest 1482 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#4 · Frontier 1086
12:59 AM → 7:52 AM4h 09m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
73%
chance on time
On time (history)
73%
Cancelled
1.6%
Avg arrival delay
19 min
- Arrived on time 73% of the time (181 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (After 9 PM: 80% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 53%).
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 45% of its 47 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 181 flights
Find Frontier 1086 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#5 · American 2105
8:49 AM → 4:16 PM4h 27m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 2226; its record covers all of them.
71%
chance on time
On time (history)
72%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
17 min
- Arrived on time 72% of the time (189 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 196 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 45% of its 47 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Moderate track record · 189 flights
Find American 2105 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#6 · American 2769
4:14 PM → 11:21 PM4h 07m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
70%
chance on time
On time (history)
70%
Cancelled
0.5%
Avg arrival delay
20 min
- Arrived on time 70% of the time (198 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 45% of its 47 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Moderate track record · 198 flights
Find American 2769 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#7 · Southwest 3819
2:00 PM → 9:00 PM4h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
69%
chance on time
On time (history)
70%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
28 min
- Arrived on time 70% of the time (54 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 53% on time; After 9 PM: 80%).
- Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 45% of its 47 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Limited track record · 54 flights
Find Southwest 3819 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

Southwest Airlines76%
857 flights · 77% on time as flown · 0.5% cancel
American Airlines74%
792 flights · 74% on time as flown · 0.6% cancel
Frontier Airlines73%
187 flights · 73% on time as flown · 1.2% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

Before 9 AM79%
405 flights · avg delay 12 min
9 AM to noon76%
291 flights · avg delay 16 min
Noon to 3 PM53%
132 flights · avg delay 27 min
3 to 6 PM66%
290 flights · avg delay 23 min
After 9 PM80%
718 flights · avg delay 10 min

Best day: Monday (80%). Worst: Thursday (74%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

What delays this route

Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)44%
Late-arriving aircraft38%
Air traffic control and airport volume18%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from PHX to MCO…

PHX to MCO questions

What time of day is best to fly PHX to MCO?: After 9 PM: 80% of flights arrived on time, against 53% for departures noon to 3 PM.
Which airline is most on time from PHX to MCO?: Southwest, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 857 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on PHX to MCO?: March (66% on time); the best was September (83%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?: No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from PHX

Most on-time flights from PHX on every route →

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops

All Products

Aviation Intelligence

Alerts & Airspace

Free Pilot Tools & Widgets

RC Aviation

Games & Learning

Weather Research & More

Pilot Resources

My Airports

Ask ATIS