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Route on-time record

MCO to PHX: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Orlando (Orlando International Airport) to Phoenix (Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport). 1,835 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 77% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 2015 at 7:13 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

Find me the most reliable flights fromtoonreturning(optional)

MCO → PHX

Orlando to Phoenix: 1,835 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

77%

Cancelled

0.5%

avg delay 19 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

89% on time vs 57% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

77% chance on time

Check MCO to PHX fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $151 (Southwest 270 on 2026-11-14). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · American 2015

    7:13 AM → 9:05 AM4h 52m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    1.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (293 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 57%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 293 flights

    Find American 2015 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 3293

    9:00 AM → 10:50 AM4h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-27.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (16 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 16 flights

    Find Southwest 3293 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 2179

    7:05 AM → 8:55 AM4h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 57%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Southwest 2179 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Frontier 1085

    9:28 PM → 11:44 PM5h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    1.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (183 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 183 flights

    Find Frontier 1085 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · American 3080

    11:22 AM → 1:03 PM4h 41m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 44 flights

    Find American 3080 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Southwest 265

    4:25 PM → 6:15 PM4h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    69%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    24 min
    • Arrived on time 69% of the time (16 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 45% of its 47 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • 59% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 16 flights

    Find Southwest 265 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Southwest 679

    9:50 PM → 11:35 PM4h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    70%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 679 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · American 2105

    5:20 PM → 7:01 PM4h 41m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 45% of its 47 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find American 2105 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · American 1504

    5:43 PM → 7:27 PM4h 44m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    66%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    68%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    26 min
    • Arrived on time 68% of the time (37 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 37 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 45% of its 47 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Limited track record · 37 flights

    Find American 1504 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines77%

    853 flights · 77% on time as flown · 0.3% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines77%

    186 flights · 77% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel

  • American Airlines75%

    796 flights · 76% on time as flown · 0.6% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM89%

    618 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 9 AM to noon82%

    279 flights · avg delay 18 min

  • Noon to 3 PM79%

    216 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • 3 to 6 PM64%

    420 flights · avg delay 36 min

  • 6 to 9 PM57%

    209 flights · avg delay 27 min

  • After 9 PM71%

    93 flights · avg delay 14 min

Best day: Tuesday (80%). Worst: Sunday (71%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
76
F
81
M
75
A
82
M
71
J
63
J
60
A
69
S
75
O
82
N
83
D
76

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft43%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)30%
  • Severe weather14%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume13%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from MCO to PHX…

MCO to PHX questions

What time of day is best to fly MCO to PHX?
Before 9 AM: 89% of flights arrived on time, against 57% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MCO to PHX?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 77% chance of operating and arriving on time over 853 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MCO to PHX?
July (60% on time); the best was November (83%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MCO

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Live status: FAA delays and ground stops