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Route on-time record

PHL to XNA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Philadelphia (Philadelphia International Airport) to Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers (Northwest Arkansas National Airport). 418 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 74% arrived within 15 minutes and 4.3% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was PSA 5543 at 10:21 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

PHL → XNA

Philadelphia to Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers: 418 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

74%

Cancelled

4.3%

avg delay 24 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

84% on time vs 67% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

74% chance on time

Check PHL to XNA fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · PSA 5543 · sold as American Eagle

    10:21 AM → 12:32 PM3h 11m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as PSA 5547; its record covers all of them.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (54 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 84% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 67%).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 54 flights

    Find 10:21 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · PSA 5477 · sold as American Eagle

    7:30 PM → 9:51 PM3h 21m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    66%
    Cancelled
    3.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    36 min
    • Arrived on time 66% of the time (29 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.3% of the time (1 of 30).
    • Departs inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (29 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 29 flights

    Find 7:30 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · PSA 5476 · sold as American Eagle

    5:52 PM → 8:07 PM3h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-18.

    65%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    66%
    Cancelled
    4.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 66% of the time (41 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.5% of the time (2 of 44).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 67% on time; 9 AM to noon: 84%).
    • Departs inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Limited track record · 41 flights

    Find 5:52 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · American 1872

    6:21 PM → 8:34 PM3h 13m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    63%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    45%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    28 min
    • Arrived on time 45% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • 73% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the route's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find American 1872 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)74%

    36 flights · 88% on time as flown · 5.6% cancel

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)71%

    367 flights · 74% on time as flown · 4.0% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 9 AM to noon84%

    149 flights · avg delay 17 min

  • 3 to 6 PM67%

    45 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 6 to 9 PM69%

    223 flights · avg delay 30 min

Best day: Tuesday (83%). Worst: Sunday (68%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
82
F
77
M
77
A
80
M
72
J
-
J
-
A
90
S
77
O
68
N
-
D
51

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft50%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)29%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume17%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from PHL to XNA…

PHL to XNA questions

What time of day is best to fly PHL to XNA?
9 AM to noon: 84% of flights arrived on time, against 67% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
Which airline is most on time from PHL to XNA?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 74% chance of operating and arriving on time over 36 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on PHL to XNA?
December (51% on time); the best was August (90%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from PHL

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops