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Route on-time record

PHL to BNA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Philadelphia (Philadelphia International Airport) to Nashville (Nashville International Airport). 2,784 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 3719 at 8:55 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

PHL → BNA

Philadelphia to Nashville: 2,784 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

75%

Cancelled

2.0%

avg delay 20 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

89% on time vs 60% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

82% chance on time

Check PHL to BNA fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $153 (Frontier 4889 on 2026-10-22). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 3719

    8:55 AM → 10:15 AM2h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    91%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    96%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 96% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find Southwest 3719 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 1519

    8:00 AM → 9:15 AM2h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    97%
    Cancelled
    3.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 97% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.0% of the time (1 of 33).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 32 flights

    Find Southwest 1519 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Republic 4572 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    8:10 AM → 9:40 AM2h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    1.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (53 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (53 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 53 flights

    Find 8:10 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Republic 4483 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    12:28 PM → 1:55 PM2h 27m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    1.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (53 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (53 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 53 flights

    Find 12:28 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · PSA 5576 · sold as American Eagle

    7:00 AM → 8:19 AM2h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    0 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 7:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · American 3130

    11:05 AM → 12:19 PM2h 14m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 1863; its record covers all of them.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (55 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 86% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 55 flights

    Find American 3130 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · PSA 5574 · sold as American Eagle

    7:06 AM → 8:27 AM2h 21m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 43 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 60%).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 43 flights

    Find 7:06 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Southwest 2545

    12:45 PM → 1:50 PM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 31 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside BNA's trouble window: 64% of its 44 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 31 flights

    Find Southwest 2545 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · American 1280

    8:20 PM → 9:39 PM2h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    3.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (131 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 60% on time; Before 9 AM: 89%).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 53% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 131 flights

    Find American 1280 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Southwest 1374

    11:40 AM → 12:55 PM2h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    28 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 58% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find Southwest 1374 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)82%

    222 flights · 86% on time as flown · 1.9% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines76%

    891 flights · 77% on time as flown · 1.1% cancel

  • Spirit Airlines75%

    81 flights · 77% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)72%

    352 flights · 75% on time as flown · 3.2% cancel

  • American Airlines70%

    1,085 flights · 71% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines67%

    153 flights · 68% on time as flown · 2.6% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM89%

    683 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • 9 AM to noon83%

    372 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • Noon to 3 PM77%

    536 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • 3 to 6 PM65%

    513 flights · avg delay 30 min

  • 6 to 9 PM60%

    548 flights · avg delay 33 min

  • After 9 PM70%

    132 flights · avg delay 26 min

Best day: Wednesday (80%). Worst: Sunday (75%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
80
F
82
M
81
A
81
M
69
J
75
J
66
A
76
S
81
O
83
N
82
D
77

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft47%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)30%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume18%
  • Severe weather5%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

PHL to BNA questions

What time of day is best to fly PHL to BNA?
Before 9 AM: 89% of flights arrived on time, against 60% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from PHL to BNA?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 82% chance of operating and arriving on time over 222 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on PHL to BNA?
July (66% on time); the best was October (83%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from PHL

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops