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Route on-time record

PHL to PVD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Philadelphia (Philadelphia International Airport) to Providence/Warwick (Rhode Island T. F. Green International Airport). 579 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 359 at 10:40 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

PHL → PVD

Philadelphia to Providence/Warwick: 579 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

75%

Cancelled

2.6%

avg delay 20 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

83% on time vs 65% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

American

73% chance on time

Check PHL to PVD fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $172 (American 5969 on 2026-10-21). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · American 359

    10:40 AM → 11:59 AM1h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (40 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 40 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 83% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 65%).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 40 flights

    Find American 359 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · American 1531

    10:06 PM → 11:23 PM1h 17m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    2.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (43 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 43 flights

    Find American 1531 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · American 3173

    9:48 PM → 10:58 PM1h 10m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    2.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (97 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 97 flights

    Find American 3173 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · PSA 5166 · sold as American Eagle

    5:30 PM → 6:52 PM1h 22m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • 92% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find 5:30 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  5. #5 · PSA 5138 · sold as American Eagle

    8:55 AM → 10:13 AM1h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    10.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find 8:55 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  6. #6 · American 1664

    9:55 PM → 11:13 PM1h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    64%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 64% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find American 1664 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • American Airlines73%

    435 flights · 74% on time as flown · 1.9% cancel

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)73%

    48 flights · 73% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)72%

    96 flights · 77% on time as flown · 4.8% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 9 AM to noon83%

    94 flights · avg delay 9 min

  • Noon to 3 PM76%

    76 flights · avg delay 21 min

  • 6 to 9 PM65%

    55 flights · avg delay 35 min

  • After 9 PM73%

    321 flights · avg delay 21 min

Best day: Tuesday (87%). Worst: Saturday (76%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
89
F
82
M
89
A
85
M
75
J
74
J
67
A
63
S
83
O
82
N
86
D
87

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft44%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)40%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume11%
  • Severe weather5%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

PHL to PVD questions

What time of day is best to fly PHL to PVD?
9 AM to noon: 83% of flights arrived on time, against 65% for departures 6 to 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from PHL to PVD?
American, with a season-adjusted 73% chance of operating and arriving on time over 435 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on PHL to PVD?
August (63% on time); the best was March (89%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from PHL

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops