Route on-time record

PHL to CVG: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Philadelphia (Philadelphia International Airport) to Cincinnati / Covington (Cincinnati Northern Kentucky International Airport). 1,135 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 76% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 4640 at 10:30 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

PHL → CVG

Philadelphia to Cincinnati / Covington: 1,135 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

76%

Cancelled

3.0%

avg delay 24 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

92% on time vs 64% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

86% chance on time

Check PHL to CVG fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $102 (American 2987 on 2026-10-23). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

#1 · Republic 4640 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
10:30 AM → 12:40 PM2h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
95%
chance on time
On time (history)
100%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
1 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (38 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 38 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 64%).
- Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 38 flights
Find 10:30 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#2 · Republic 4777 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
4:32 PM → 6:42 PM2h 10m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
92%
chance on time
On time (history)
97%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
8 min
- Arrived on time 97% of the time (38 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 38 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (38 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 38 flights
Find 4:32 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#3 · PSA 5558 · sold as American Eagle
8:40 AM → 10:49 AM2h 09m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
78%
chance on time
On time (history)
81%
Cancelled
2.1%
Avg arrival delay
15 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (47 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (47 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 47 flights
Find 8:40 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#4 · PSA 5086 · sold as American Eagle
8:30 AM → 10:37 AM2h 07m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
74%
chance on time
On time (history)
78%
Cancelled
6.2%
Avg arrival delay
20 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (165 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 6.2% of the time (11 of 177).
- Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 165 flights
Find 8:30 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#5 · PSA 5188 · sold as American Eagle
1:06 PM → 3:04 PM1h 58m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.
74%
chance on time
On time (history)
84%
Cancelled
2.3%
Avg arrival delay
9 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (43 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 43 flights
Find 1:06 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#6 · PSA 5514 · sold as American Eagle
10:50 AM → 12:52 PM2h 02m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
72%
chance on time
On time (history)
57%
Cancelled
2.8%
Avg arrival delay
37 min
- Arrived on time 57% of the time (35 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 64%).
- Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (35 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 35 flights
Find 10:50 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#7 · PSA 5513 · sold as American Eagle
2:33 PM → 4:35 PM2h 02m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
71%
chance on time
On time (history)
78%
Cancelled
8.0%
Avg arrival delay
22 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 75% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 23 flights
Find 2:33 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#8 · PSA 5515 · sold as American Eagle
3:25 PM → 5:27 PM2h 02m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
68%
chance on time
On time (history)
69%
Cancelled
3.7%
Avg arrival delay
22 min
- Arrived on time 69% of the time (26 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 65% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (26 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 26 flights
Find 3:25 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#9 · PSA 5542 · sold as American Eagle
6:44 PM → 8:50 PM2h 06m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-18.
65%
chance on time
On time (history)
78%
Cancelled
2.7%
Avg arrival delay
23 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (36 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 64% on time; 9 AM to noon: 92%).
- Departs inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (36 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 36 flights
Find 6:44 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#10 · PSA 5089 · sold as American Eagle
6:50 PM → 8:56 PM2h 06m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
64%
chance on time
On time (history)
66%
Cancelled
4.3%
Avg arrival delay
31 min
- Arrived on time 66% of the time (134 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.3% of the time (6 of 140).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 64% on time; 9 AM to noon: 92%).
- Departs inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Moderate track record · 134 flights
Find 6:50 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)86%
130 flights · 95% on time as flown · 1.6% cancel
American Airlines78%
64 flights · 86% on time as flown · 2.6% cancel
PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)70%
941 flights · 72% on time as flown · 3.4% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

Before 9 AM87%
187 flights · avg delay 13 min
9 AM to noon92%
105 flights · avg delay 6 min
Noon to 3 PM77%
308 flights · avg delay 18 min
3 to 6 PM75%
107 flights · avg delay 30 min
6 to 9 PM64%
324 flights · avg delay 39 min
After 9 PM69%
104 flights · avg delay 28 min

Best day: Tuesday (83%). Worst: Saturday (71%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

What delays this route

Late-arriving aircraft46%
Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)32%
Air traffic control and airport volume13%
Severe weather9%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from PHL to CVG…

PHL to CVG questions

What time of day is best to fly PHL to CVG?: 9 AM to noon: 92% of flights arrived on time, against 64% for departures 6 to 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from PHL to CVG?: Republic, with a season-adjusted 86% chance of operating and arriving on time over 130 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on PHL to CVG?: July (60% on time); the best was November (83%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?: No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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