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Route on-time record

ORD to TVC: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport) to Traverse City (Cherry Capital Airport). 2,539 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 65% arrived within 15 minutes and 4.3% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Envoy 4190 at 9:24 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

ORD → TVC

Chicago to Traverse City: 2,539 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

65%

Cancelled

4.3%

avg delay 34 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

74% on time vs 57% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Envoy

74% chance on time

Check ORD to TVC fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Envoy 4190 · sold as American Eagle

    9:24 AM → 11:46 AM1h 22m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 74% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 57%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 9:24 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Envoy 3477 · sold as American Eagle

    1:24 PM → 3:41 PM1h 17m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    7.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (13 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (13 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 13 flights

    Find 1:24 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Envoy 3910 · sold as American Eagle

    9:15 PM → 11:34 PM1h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 9:15 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Republic 3449 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    11:15 AM → 1:28 PM1h 13m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    73%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 74% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 57%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find 11:15 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · PSA 5633 · sold as American Eagle

    9:51 AM → 12:11 PM1h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 30 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 74% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 57%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 30 flights

    Find 9:51 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · SkyWest 5590 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    1:00 PM → 3:25 PM1h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find 1:00 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · PSA 5021 · sold as American Eagle

    1:26 PM → 3:44 PM1h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    73%
    Cancelled
    2.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 73% of the time (45 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 62% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (45 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 45 flights

    Find 1:26 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Republic 4768 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    4:53 PM → 7:16 PM1h 23m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    74%
    Cancelled
    2.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 74% of the time (42 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 57% on time; 9 AM to noon: 74%).
    • Departs inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • 63% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 42 flights

    Find 4:53 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · PSA 5666 · sold as American Eagle

    9:59 AM → 12:12 PM1h 13m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    73%
    Cancelled
    13.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 73% of the time (40 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 13.0% of the time (6 of 46).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 74% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 57%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 40 flights

    Find 9:59 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · SkyWest 6330 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    9:52 AM → 12:11 PM1h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (14 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 74% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 57%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (14 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 14 flights

    Find 9:52 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)74%

    141 flights · 81% on time as flown · 2.9% cancel

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)67%

    447 flights · 71% on time as flown · 4.1% cancel

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)62%

    377 flights · 68% on time as flown · 7.1% cancel

  • United Airlines61%

    463 flights · 62% on time as flown · 2.7% cancel

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)59%

    1,111 flights · 61% on time as flown · 4.3% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 9 AM to noon74%

    537 flights · avg delay 21 min

  • Noon to 3 PM71%

    478 flights · avg delay 29 min

  • 3 to 6 PM57%

    504 flights · avg delay 39 min

  • 6 to 9 PM61%

    599 flights · avg delay 38 min

  • After 9 PM58%

    351 flights · avg delay 50 min

Best day: Saturday (73%). Worst: Sunday (64%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
59
F
72
M
69
A
73
M
73
J
65
J
58
A
70
S
79
O
78
N
74
D
60

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)38%
  • Late-arriving aircraft33%
  • Severe weather18%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume11%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

ORD to TVC questions

What time of day is best to fly ORD to TVC?
9 AM to noon: 74% of flights arrived on time, against 57% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
Which airline is most on time from ORD to TVC?
Envoy, with a season-adjusted 74% chance of operating and arriving on time over 141 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on ORD to TVC?
July (58% on time); the best was September (79%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from ORD

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops